Web3Veteran

Learning from the past: Don’t be fooled by the current “surge”—the real test is still ahead.
Recently, the market has fallen into a serious emotional misjudgment. Since the April 7 U.S. stocks ceasefire news landed, expectations of an endless “bull comeback” have been amplified without limit; this blind optimism clearly overestimates how much the situation has eased.
The fact is: there is no short-term end to geopolitical warfare, and uncertainty will suppress the valuation of risk assets for the long term.
Taking the script of the 2022 Russia-Ukraine war as a reference: in the initial s

Tonight at 10:00 PM, the nomination hearing for the next Federal Reserve Chair of the United States will be held, and their stance will have a key impact on global markets (cryptocurrency, precious metals, equity assets).
Wash's position contrast is the core variable: previously hawkish, advocating anti-inflation measures and opposing rate cuts and easing; recently publicly supporting rate cuts to align with Trump policy expectations, but their true attitude remains unclear.
Four key pieces of information to focus on:
1. Attitude toward inflation, judging whether they are a "true dove" or a "f

The Old Chives' Crypto Breakfast | April 21
1. Spot gold opened down more than 1% at one point, breaking below the 4740 level, then recovered some losses, closing down 0.28% at $4,820.72 per ounce; spot silver gapped lower at open, trading with fluctuations, closing down 1.56% at $79.71 per ounce.
2. The outlook for the US-Iran peace talks is uncertain. International oil prices gapped higher on Monday. After WTI crude oil opened up 5%, it traded in a high-range consolidation, closing up 1.91% at $88.55 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 2.51% at $90.39 per barrel.
3. Trump said it is highly

Yesterday morning, support was clearly evident around 74,000. It was judged that the market had the potential for a rebound, with an expected range of 75,500–76,000. The actual bullish continuation was slightly extended by about 500 points, which is normal fluctuation. Deviations in the structural basis within 300 points are not a big deal. I repeatedly emphasized that the key level of 75,800 has been effectively broken. Currently, the market is experiencing significant shakeout efforts, still creating a false impression of an upward surge to interfere with judgment. After 8 a.m., the quote wa

The white disk indicates the position has been reached. Just leave it alone, and it will be done.
$BTC
#GatePreIPOs首发SpaceX

The most realistic statement
The people who truly make big money in this market:
Either enter early and hold long-term
Or have professional-level fund management
Or master liquidity advantages
Retail investors trying to beat institutions with "smartness"?
It's almost impossible.
But you can survive by relying on "discipline."
And surviving itself is an advantage.
$BTC
#GatePreIPOs首发SpaceX

Things look like there is progress on the US-Iran side, but the core conflicts haven't been resolved, and the ceasefire is about to expire. The geopolitical risks haven't truly passed.
On the other hand, the Federal Reserve hearing is coming soon, and signals about whether to cut interest rates will gradually materialize, directly affecting the market trend.
In plain terms: superficial easing, but in reality, uncertainty is at its peak. News can trigger a market surge at any time, so stay alert.
$BTC $ETH
#GatePreIPOs首发SpaceX

Morning BTC open short position hits perfectly ✅
Already gained nearly 1,000 points, stay calm and hold steady!
73500 is the bulls' dying defense line
76600 and 75300 keep breaking through, 73500 may no longer hold
Follow the trend and hold, patiently wait for further pullback
$BTC

The weekend bearish signals were concentratedly released, and the market’s bears fully vented. The price fell from 78,300 to around 73,700, dropping by nearly 4,600 points. The earlier “go short from resistance” idea was successfully carried out.
From a four-hour structure perspective, after the price broke above the upper band, it faced pressure and printed consecutive red candles; after falling below the lower band, it kept running. The moving averages spread downward, MACD forms a death cross, and KDJ is arranged in a weak pattern, making the short-term bearish setup clear, with expectati

I used to think politics was a serious and distant matter, but once I understood this rhythm of game-playing, I realized everything had already been laid out clearly on the order book.
After often a round of pressure, it’s just the standard script:
First, take a tough stance for two days, then quietly release signals of easing; next, return to the negotiating table, with emotions pulled back and forth as you keep testing.
When you look at it on the order book, it’s actually very simple:
If it drops a lot, dare to go long low; if it rises fast, dare to short high—only don’t chase rallies or sel

Remember: In this kind of high-frequency volatile market, the only standard for judging direction must be based on the closing of the candlestick body.
Only when the candlestick body truly breaks through is it a reliable trend signal; otherwise, it’s just range-bound fluctuation.
Today, although the BTC short positions were stopped out intraday, after confirming the candlestick body has turned stronger, we also decisively reversed and added to our long positions—just keep in sync with the rhythm.
$BTC
#GatePreIPOs首发SpaceX

This market is still stubbornly locked onto candlestick charts—really, it doesn’t have much point.
This morning I scroll through a round of posts. All kinds of indicators and analysis people talk like they’re experts. It looks very professional. In the end, after a flurry of moves as fierce as a tiger, the account still ends up losing—like a dog.
Now the market isn’t really ruled by technicals at all. With a single sentence, you can wipe out sentiment, and deliver a double-kill to both longs and shorts. Instead of calling it analysis, it’s basically betting on what the next sentence will be—wh

Bitcoin funding rates have fallen to historic lows, a pattern often seen at market cycle bottoms.
A large number of short positions continue to accumulate, significantly increasing the potential risk of a short squeeze in the future.
#山寨币强势反弹

Altcoin prices surge collectively ≠ Bull market has started, don’t be blinded by short-term frenzy
Recently, altcoins have risen collectively, and many are shouting that the bull market has arrived. Don’t rush to enter the market. This round of market movement is more like a phase of emotional-driven celebration, not a clear signal of trend reversal.
Bitcoin and Ethereum are still oscillating at high levels, and mainstream funds have not formed a consensus to buy aggressively. Funds are instead flowing into small-cap altcoins, causing short-term surges, which essentially amplifies market v

Market Analysis: Fake Strength to Induce Buying, Structure Not Yet Bullish, Maintain Bearish Outlook
Last night, it first fell then rebounded, essentially a capital reallocation and shakeout—clearing out weak hands while releasing a slightly bullish signal externally, inducing emotional entry and buying.
The market focus is mostly on Trump's Middle East actions, but the core point to recognize is: his primary goal is to stabilize the US stock market, not to endorse the crypto market. Moreover, the capital attributes and driving logic of US stocks and crypto markets are completely different