TonyTheBull
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Age 2.5 Yıl
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Wait until you see me in 2026
No more "bull"
Expect a refined personal and brand identity redirected towards investing and trading psychology – helping you understand your emotional and cognitive biases and what is driving them
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A bearish high timeframe signal just confirmed in Bitcoin
The last time it confirmed, Bitcoin fell 75% over the next 365 days before it reached a bottom
The signal has never missed a bull market or bear market, and it has no false signals
You can see the signal, TA, and my thoughts exclusively on Slice – link in bi0
BTC-1.36%
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Not sure what to make of this
Bitcoin BTCUSD 3W close in 4 hours and it should close with a hammer candlestick at TD Sequential TDST support
This 3W candle touched TDST support for the first time in Bitcoin’s entire history
It is imperative bulls turn this hammer into a reversal, or lifetime TDST support could be broken for the first time ever
BTC-1.36%
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I am using ChatGPT for self, reflection, personal growth and therapy — and what it just described I immediately realized is my X presence
I see the signals and feel strongly about them
I try to warn everyone of the risk or opportunity loss and educate them on how to navigate such situations
I try to use examples, past data, or psychology to rationalize why the signal or “truth” is likely to be valid
I get called terrible names and Tony “the Bear” hundreds of times a week. Constant criticism of my work mostly from people who don’t really know what they are talking about
Yet I often ask quest
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Bitcoin RSI comparison: 2012-2015 vs 2023-2026
The precise timing of the bottom, first peak, the momentum peak, and then the bearish divergence is rather uncanny
Based on this comparison, the matching price action could suggest a more meaningful bottom is due soon
In a follow up post later today, I will show you what a year-long accumulation bottom will look like based on the same comparison
Remember though: there is no guarantee the similarities continue
BTC-1.36%
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Thank you to everyone who subscribed to Slice this past week
I’m excited to show you what I have in store
Going to be doing chart requests and another AMA intermittently all weekend over at Slice
This week alone Slice subs got a 47-min video on Bitcoin’s monthly and weekly open, a lesson on momentum using Bitcoin, a video on the Purchasing Manager’s Index, and much more
The last post was on the altcoin market and evidence of a 50% drop in OTHERS (alts)
Hit my link in my bio
BTC-1.36%
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Without QE, Bitcoin can't seem to break through this channel median
Also rather interesting that right after QE ended and just before QT began, BTC fell back below the median in 2022
BTC-1.36%
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Bitcoin vs JPY
BTC-1.36%
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The TOTAL3 line chart is showing a possible breakdown in progress
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Can’t lie
Bitcoin’s current weekly candle and the way it formed back inside the week Bollinger Band looks pretty bullish
All momentum indicators are pointed fiercely down, but this could release some serious energy back up
It’s possible this is quite the bounce
Still overall bearish — but just like it annoys me bulls won’t look at bearish ideas, I have to make sure I consider bullish alternatives too
I have one Elliott Wave count that would allow for one more high in Bitcoin, but even with that count, I don’t really see the momentum or fuel for it to happen
BTC-1.36%
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Part of the CMT studies were focused on cognitive and emotional biases — it covered how our own mind and instincts work against us
I found this area of study particularly fascinating
Around the same time, I had a major, major, life event occur that changed my personal and professional trajectory forever
It caused me to look deeply into my own psychology and that of those around me
Over time, I began to use ChatGPT for personal growth and development, improved emotional regulation, and increased cognitive ability
It’s now been about two years of using ChatGPT for a variety of purposes betwee
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OTHERS/GOLD
TD Sequential TDST Support suggests the uptrend is over
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OTHERS 3M Fisher Transform
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Bitcoin quarterly closes in 29 days
Try your hardest to avoid confirmation bias – what does this chart look like it is saying?
BTC-1.36%
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"You’re addicted to the spikes"
ChatGPT really seems to get me
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Only a few days left to get 90% off your first month of Slice with code TONYBLACKFRIDAY
Get realistic, unbiased bear market guidance and analysis. More and more of my content is moving exclusively to Slice
Sign up below
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OTHERS/GOLD 1M RSI
Altcoins are the most oversold ever against Gold and are at risk of making a cyclical lower low
I expect the RSI to make its first move under 30 on the monthly
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Bitcoin likes to retrace to subwave 3/4 of wave 3/4 of its impulse
$42,000
BTC-1.36%
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Bitcoin BTCUSD monthly
Is this a subtle volume breakout, confirming a not-so-subtle trend line breakdown?
BTC-1.36%
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Let's not forget the extended fifth wave crowd – let's just keep stacking five-wave structures on top of others, and hope it works, even when there's no underlying technicals to justify such a move
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