A bearish high timeframe signal just confirmed in Bitcoin
The last time it confirmed, Bitcoin fell 75% over the next 365 days before it reached a bottom
The signal has never missed a bull market or bear market, and it has no false signals
You can see the signal, TA, and my thoughts exclusively on Slice – link in bi0

Not sure what to make of this
Bitcoin BTCUSD 3W close in 4 hours and it should close with a hammer candlestick at TD Sequential TDST support
This 3W candle touched TDST support for the first time in Bitcoin’s entire history
It is imperative bulls turn this hammer into a reversal, or lifetime TDST support could be broken for the first time ever

I am using ChatGPT for self, reflection, personal growth and therapy — and what it just described I immediately realized is my X presence
I see the signals and feel strongly about them
I try to warn everyone of the risk or opportunity loss and educate them on how to navigate such situations
I try to use examples, past data, or psychology to rationalize why the signal or “truth” is likely to be valid
I get called terrible names and Tony “the Bear” hundreds of times a week. Constant criticism of my work mostly from people who don’t really know what they are talking about
Yet I often ask quest

Bitcoin RSI comparison: 2012-2015 vs 2023-2026
The precise timing of the bottom, first peak, the momentum peak, and then the bearish divergence is rather uncanny
Based on this comparison, the matching price action could suggest a more meaningful bottom is due soon
In a follow up post later today, I will show you what a year-long accumulation bottom will look like based on the same comparison
Remember though: there is no guarantee the similarities continue

Without QE, Bitcoin can't seem to break through this channel median
Also rather interesting that right after QE ended and just before QT began, BTC fell back below the median in 2022

The TOTAL3 line chart is showing a possible breakdown in progress

OTHERS/GOLD
TD Sequential TDST Support suggests the uptrend is over

OTHERS 3M Fisher Transform

Bitcoin quarterly closes in 29 days
Try your hardest to avoid confirmation bias – what does this chart look like it is saying?

OTHERS/GOLD 1M RSI
Altcoins are the most oversold ever against Gold and are at risk of making a cyclical lower low
I expect the RSI to make its first move under 30 on the monthly

Bitcoin likes to retrace to subwave 3/4 of wave 3/4 of its impulse
$42,000

Bitcoin BTCUSD monthly
Is this a subtle volume breakout, confirming a not-so-subtle trend line breakdown?

Let's not forget the extended fifth wave crowd – let's just keep stacking five-wave structures on top of others, and hope it works, even when there's no underlying technicals to justify such a move