MisterSpread

Happy Easter and Christ is Risen!
Visit #Romania 🇷🇴

Bitcoin still bearish under 85k area weekly close

We talk about $DXY only when it fits our bias?
GM,
When the Dollar Index was dropping all 2025 , we saw periodically posts of the inverse correlation between it & $BTC .
Now that it rebounds and about to break the 100 yearly psychological resistance, we don't post about it anymore?
Funny how the human mind works...

Bitcoin still bearish
GM,
$BTC is still in a bearmarket and in a downtrend, even after the last 7% bounce.
No reclaim and continuation of 76k area, no party, not even short-term.
Question for people who had 74k area as a bearmarket confirmation: Your bearmarket was from 74k to 60k and for 2 months?
Have a great day, week and month forward 🫡

Markets will be there tomorrow,
Go for a walk and touch grass.
Visit #Romania ❤️

NFP day today – important reminder
With German and UK banks closed due to Good Friday, liquidity will be thinner, so moves can be funkier.
With NFP in two hours, plus with tensions still elevated in the Middle East, I wouldn’t be surprised to see some whipsaw price action going into a long weekend, so hug your stop losses and stay safe 🫡

What’s your “why” for trading?
I woke up on a random Tuesday morning, took a plane with my wife and baby boy from Bucharest to Bologna, Italy.
We had espresso and colazione for breakfast, walked around the Towers of Bologna.
After we took the TGV to Firenze and went to All’Antico Vinaio for the best fresh schiacciata.
Freedom to do what I want, when I want, how I want and with whom I want.
That’s my “why”. What’s yours?

Bitcoin BREAKING NEWS
War in Iran affecting $BTC management decisions.

Good luck next week with these closes
$BTC under 70k
$VIX above 30
$DXY knocking on 100 door
$WTI again above 100 per barrel
& US indexes already distributing
Without a major improvement in the MiddleEast over the weekend, lower we go🫡

Good luck next week with this closes
$BTC under 70k
$VIX above 30
$DXY knocking on 100 door
$WTI again above 100 per barrel
& US indexes already distributing
Without a major improvement in the MiddleEast over the weekend, lower we go🫡

Simplicity is the new sophistication $BTC
While we continue to see more narratives fall, following Price proved and proves to be the optimal take.
No break above 74/76k meant another drop lower, natural for a bearmarket.
IF Bitcoin loses 63k area on weekly, means we have the Re-Distribution confirmed, opening up 54/56k as first target.
Price > narratives, opinions, biases 🫡

$GOOG down -10%, another -14% drop loading?
GM,
Six weeks ago, one of my sell signals flashed on @Google stock for the first time since February 2025.
Since then, the stock dropped -10% and by the Price Action we had, it looks like the downtrend just started and this move lower still has legs.
What's your take? 🤔

Listen, I like $TAO and was one of my favorite altcoins to trade during the last bull run.
But seeing so many people pushing it like it’s the new Bitcoin or better (lol), gives me pre-dump $ZEC vibes.

*TRUMP: INSTRUCTED TO POSTPONE ALL STRIKES AGAINST IRAN
SPY, BTC shorts closed in profit
Waiting for market open for NFXL and GOOG
ETH closed with minus
Top is still in for US stock indexes, even with Trump folding, and same levels are resistance for BTC = 74/76k and 2145 up to 2400 for ETH.
Thank you for attention to this matter!

Current trades going into a new week
GM,
Thought I’d share here as well, for free, my current trades going into this week.
Short $SPY (triggered last week after 3 weeks of waiting)
Short $NFLX (re-entered after the latest bounce and rejection)
Short $BTC (position initially started after rejecting from 74k, but added more below 72k)
Short $GOOG (talked about the sell signal flashing for the first time since Q1 2025)
Long $SOYBEAN (still long on soybeans, although we had a massive pullback)
I’m also short $ETH below $2,145 since Saturday (trade explained here as well last week)
All trades have

U.S. Big Banks Index $BKX is flashing a warning signal.
Since 2020, every major stress event has coincided with a breakdown in BKX below its 200 day SMA.
Mar2020 (COVID crash): BKX -46% / SP -34%
Feb2022 (Russia invades Ukraine): BKX -30% / SP -25%
Mar2023 (SVB collapse): BKX -33% / SP -9% (the only smaller drop)
Mar2025 (Trump's Tariffs Drama ): BKX -19% / SP -20%
Mar2026 (U.S.–Iran escalation): BKX ? / SP ~ -5% (so far)
$BTC is holding relatively well so far, adding an interesting divergence to watch, but will it last?
Historically, weakness in banks has aligned with broader financial stress

Chuck Norris never feared a margin call.
The brokers called to apologize.
RIP Legend🙏

Closing my $COPPER longs for +23% profit
GM,
This was one of the biggest allocations I had in the last 2 quarters.
I wanted to hold on to these for much longer, but the last events worldwide, show me otherwise + Price confirms that we might have a local top on metals.
P.S: Copper is sending an early signal about the global economy, so Im paying attention.
On to the next one 🫡