Mayooo

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Big day ahead.
At 8:30 AM ET, we get PPI data. At 2:00 PM ET, the Fed announces its rate decision, followed by Chair Powell speaking at 2:30 PM ET.
I expect the most volatility during the press conference, as a no rate cut is largely priced in.
The key driver will be whether Powell’s tone is dovish or hawkish.

$BTC is currently moving sideways above $74,000, which is a positive sign.
I expect we could move a bit higher toward $78,000 before possibly pulling back.
As long as the price stays above $73,500, I remain bullish.

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Looks like $BTC may be preparing for another push higher toward the $78,000 level.
I’m seeing a lot of traders attempting to short here, which could fuel further upside if the market squeezes those positions.
Be cautious with shorts at these levels.
Personally, I’d be more interested in considering a short position closer to $78,000.

I’m currently on vacation, so I’m a bit less active than usual. I’ll be back to my normal schedule by the end of the week.
That said, I wanted to provide a quick update. We’ve seen a fairly strong upward move in Bitcoin and other crypto's, even though tensions in the Middle East have not de-escalated.
Because of this, I think it’s important to remain cautious about this pump. Bitcoin has also created a CME gap, which is something to keep in mind.
At this point, I’m not interested in entering a long position. Short positions could be considered, but personally I prefer to wait a bit longer and

$BTC
The CME market opens in approximately 4,5 hours, which is also when oil futures begin trading.
Currently, $BTC is trading around the CME closing price from Friday, meaning there is no open CME gap at the moment.
However, Bitcoin’s next move will likely depend largely on oil price action. As long as oil remains above $94, my bias on Bitcoin remains bearish.
If we see positive developments or de-escalation news from the Middle East, oil prices could decline, which may support upside movement in Bitcoin.

$BTC has just closed six consecutive daily green candles, a streak we last saw in October 2025.
At that time, BTC was trading around its $126K all-time high, before the market experienced a significant correction.
Will history repeat itself?

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$BTC saw a strong push higher earlier today but fully retraced the move within a few hours.
The key level to watch now is $70,000.
If this level holds, we could see another push higher to take the highs above $74,000.
However, a loss of $70K could open the door for a deeper pullback.
With it being the weekend, volatility will likely remain relatively low.
Enjoy the weekend.

$BTC
$74,000 is too obvious for a short level.
I doubt we reject here.
Higher.

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Reminder:
PCE data will be released in 20 minutes.

The crypto market has been heavily sold off over the past few months.
One advantage of a sharp decline is that price can also recover quickly, as there is often limited liquidity during the move down.
If $SOL breaks above $90, I believe a move toward $100 could follow shortly.
Many altcoins are in a similar position, if these levels are broken, we could see significantly higher prices in the near term.

Bitcoin looks set to move toward $73,000–$74,000.

Stocks are selling off, but crypto is holding up relatively well.
It’s becoming increasingly likely that $BTC could move to $74,000 first before we see any further downside.