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#美联储货币政策 Just saw an important message: after ending its quantitative tightening policy, the Federal Reserve injected $13.5 billion into the banking system through overnight repurchase agreements. This is the second-largest injection since the pandemic began and is worth paying close attention to.
From on-chain data, this move has already had a certain impact on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin prices have experienced significant fluctuations, and MicroStrategy(MSTR)'s stock has also responded. This may indicate that market expectations for increased liquidity are heating up.
Next, I will f
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#加密货币市场行情 This week's data shows a significant net inflow into crypto assets, totaling $1.07 billion, reversing the previous four weeks of large-scale capital outflows. The US market performed particularly well, contributing nearly $1 billion in inflows. In terms of specific assets, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP all received substantial capital inflows. This shift is mainly driven by remarks from Federal Reserve official Williams about the possibility of interest rate cuts. Although trading volume was relatively low during Thanksgiving, the overall funding environment remains positive. These dat
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#加密货币监管 The Japanese government supports reducing the cryptocurrency profit tax rate to 20%, which is a noteworthy regulatory development. From an on-chain data analysis perspective, this move could stimulate an increase in cryptocurrency trading volume and holdings in the Japanese market. An influx of funds into Japanese exchanges is expected, especially from high-net-worth individual investors. At the same time, this may trigger other countries to follow suit, promoting the unification of global cryptocurrency tax policies. However, close attention should be paid to how investor protection
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#日本央行货币政策转向 Recently, the Bank of Japan's monetary policy shift has attracted significant market attention. Data shows that the yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds has risen to 1.879%, reaching a new high since 2008. This change could trigger a chain reaction in global financial markets. Notably, as the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt, Japan's policy shift may lead to capital flowing back from the U.S. market, thereby affecting the trend of U.S. Treasury yields.
Analyzing this situation, the outlook for the Federal Reserve's rate cuts may face challenges. Rising U.S. Treasury yields
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#加密货币市场趋势 Noticed that IBIT has recently experienced a large-scale outflow of funds, but I don't think this is an abnormal phenomenon. Based on the data, the $2.34 billion outflow is indeed eye-catching, but considering Bitcoin's volatility and the flexibility of the ETF itself, this kind of fund movement is understandable.
It is worth noting that despite the outflow, IBIT investors currently have about $3.2 billion in accumulated unrealized gains, which indicates that overall performance remains strong. From a long-term perspective, spot ETFs as a new investment tool are experiencing rapid g
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#比特币价格走势 Analyzed based on Grayscale's latest report predictions, there are a few points worth noting. First, the expectation of Bitcoin hitting new highs in 2026 seems somewhat optimistic and should be approached with caution. Second, a decline of over 25% is indeed common during bull markets, which aligns with historical data. The most critical aspect is the change in market structure, as the dominance of institutional funds is forming, which could impact future price volatility. On the macroeconomic front, potential rate cuts and supportive cryptocurrency legislation are indeed positive fa
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#加密货币监管动向 This news is indeed very interesting. Vanguard, as a traditional financial giant, has finally opened the door to crypto assets, which is undoubtedly a signal of clearer industry regulation. From the data, this could bring a new wave of institutional funds flowing in. However, I believe we should view this cautiously, as Vanguard is only opening trading and has not launched its own products. Next, I will closely monitor the actions of other large asset management firms and the impact of this policy on the number of holding addresses for mainstream cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH. O
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#美联储货币政策 The nomination process for the new Federal Reserve Chair is accelerating, which will have a significant impact on market sentiment and asset price movements. According to the latest news, the final candidate has begun meeting with top White House officials, and Trump may announce the nominee before Christmas. Currently, Haskett seems to be the preferred choice, but there are still uncertainties. Meanwhile, rumors of Powell's resignation are resurfacing, although there is no official confirmation. Powell will speak this Tuesday, which warrants close attention. It is recommended to clo
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#比特币价格分析 Analyzed the latest market dynamics, Ethereum is approaching the key resistance zone of $3200-3250. This price range is the focal point of the buy-sell battle, and breaking through is not easy. Notably, the previously popular "buy the dip" strategy seems to be weakening, and investor sentiment is showing subtle changes. Discussions on social media have shifted from simple bottom-fishing to concerns that some large crypto companies may face liquidation. This narrative shift could indicate that the market is about to enter a new phase. It is recommended to closely monitor trading volum
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#美联储利率政策 Noting that there is significant disagreement within the Federal Reserve on interest rate decisions, which could intensify market volatility. From the data, among the 12 voting members, 5 oppose rate cuts, 3 support them, indicating clear divergence. Under these circumstances, the uncertainty about future policy directions increases, which will impact the interest rate market and the pricing of risk assets. It is recommended to closely monitor the statements and meeting minutes of the committee members, and analyze potential policy trends. Additionally, attention should be paid to ma
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#虚拟货币监管 Noted the Chinese regulatory authorities' definition and stance on stablecoins. This means that the regulation of stablecoins will become more stringent, especially concerning illegal currency exchanges and money laundering activities. From on-chain data, recent abnormal fund flows have indeed been observed, which may be related to this. It is expected that in the short term, trading volume and address activity for stablecoins will decline. It is recommended to closely monitor subsequent policy developments and their impact on the market. It is also worth noting that Hong Kong's open
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#加密货币市场分析 Analyzing macroeconomic trends, AI is undoubtedly the primary growth engine in the current market. Data shows that AI-related capital expenditure is effectively mitigating the risk of an economic downturn. However, this also intensifies polarization in the labor market, which may further exacerbate social inequality. Notably, energy infrastructure rather than GPUs may become the true bottleneck for AI development.
From a market perspective, recent volatility is driven more by sentiment and capital flows rather than fundamentals. Systematic strategies of institutional investors, corp
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#加密货币监管 Analyzing Bitpanda's launch of the Vision ecosystem, it can be seen that Europe is shaping its own unique approach to crypto regulation. By integrating compliance capabilities into the infrastructure, Vision aims to build a bridge connecting traditional finance with Web3. If successful, this model could reshape the development landscape of RWA and compliant DeFi. However, its success largely depends on the evolution of the European regulatory environment. From a mid- to long-term perspective, this could become a noteworthy investment opportunity, but currently, careful assessment of i
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#美联储降息预期 Seeing this weekly report data, I find it very interesting. The expectation of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has clearly driven capital inflows into digital asset investment products. Last week, the net inflow reached $1.07 billion, marking a significant reversal after four consecutive weeks of large-scale capital outflows. Notably, despite the low trading volume during the Thanksgiving period, the US market still contributed nearly $1 billion in inflows, occupying an absolute dominant position.
Looking at specific assets, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP all experienced stron
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Analyzing the conversation between Hayes and Monad co-founders, it is evident that the high FDV and low circulating supply token model indeed carries potential risks. Hayes recommends that the team's and investors' tokens should be fully unlocked as soon as possible, and this viewpoint is worth noting. Although full unlocking may lead to significant short-term price fluctuations, in the long run, it helps verify the project's genuine demand and value.
Currently, most projects still adopt a gradual unlocking model mainly to stabilize prices and retain early investors. However, this approach may
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#稳定币市场发展 Sony Bank's plan to issue a USD stablecoin has caught my attention. From an on-chain data perspective, this could potentially impact the stability coin market landscape. It is important to closely monitor the issuance volume, circulation status, and capital flow comparisons with existing mainstream stablecoins. Sony Group's ecosystem provides potential application scenarios, making it worth tracking its actual usage data in gaming and anime content payments. At the same time, regulatory developments should also be observed to assess their potential impact on the overall stablecoin ma
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#加密货币监管政策发展 The Japanese government's recent adjustments to cryptocurrency tax policies are undoubtedly a significant positive signal. By uniformly taxing cryptocurrency trading gains at 20% and treating them the same as stocks and other financial products, it not only reduces the tax burden on investors but also has the potential to stimulate the domestic trading market. From on-chain data, Japanese users have historically shown relatively low trading activity; this policy adjustment is likely to bring about noticeable improvement.
At the same time, Japan's Financial Services Agency plans to
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Market sentiment shift is worth noting. Recent data shows Ethereum approaching the key resistance level of $3200, with intense bidding and selling battles. Social media indicators show that the "buy the dip" strategy is fading, and investor concerns about potential liquidations of certain companies are rising. This change in sentiment may indicate that the market will test previous lows again in the short term. It is recommended to closely monitor the breakout of the $3200-$3250 range, while also paying attention to on-chain fund flows and large wallet address activity to gauge the future mark
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#比特币价格走势分析 Analyzing this set of data, it is not difficult to see that the overall trend of the crypto market in November was sluggish. Trading volume shrank significantly, BTC price dropped from $110,000 to $86,500, and ETFs experienced massive net outflows. These indicators are all signaling negative signals.
From the perspective of capital flow, investors are accelerating their withdrawals. The $3.48 billion ETF outflow in a single month hit a new high in nearly 10 months, reflecting a cautious market sentiment. Coupled with trading volume hitting a 5-month low, it can be judged that a sig
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