在2023年，這個傢伙說週期頂部會在2025年10月6日
在那個確切的日期 #Bitcoin 達到了 $126,200 的歷史新高
#Crypto_Sm1th
$BTC

Gate Square｜3/18 Today's Hot Topics #Gate13周年全球庆典
🎁 【Anniversary Tribute】 Send your sincere wishes and win a chance for 5 lucky users to share $1,000 in position experience vouchers!
✨ 13 Years Together, Heading Towards the Stars and Seas
From 2013 to 2026, Gate has accompanied 50 million global users through a glorious journey. Today, we not only maintain our leading position in spot and derivatives trading, but have also fully launched the Gate AI era! The future is here, thank you for being here!
💬 This Period's Hot Discussion Comments:
1️⃣ Share a birthday blessing for Gate's 13th anniv

#FedRateDecision
聯邦準備委員會利率決策：2026年的關鍵轉折點
聯邦準備委員會(美聯儲)美國中央銀行再次成為全球金融市場的焦點，因為它正在權衡最新的利率決策。市場參與者、投資者、交易員和決策制定者都在密切關注美聯儲是否會保持利率不變、降低利率，或在複雜的經濟信號混合中出人意料地提高利率。由於這一決策可能對通脹、增長、就業、金融市場和全球投資流動產生影響，因此被廣泛認為是今年最重要的宏觀經濟事件之一。
2026年3月聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)會議前的大多數預測表明，美聯儲可能會保持當前利率不變，主要原因是持續的通脹壓力，這些壓力由外部因素（如能源價格居高不下和美國經濟就業增長放緩）驅動。
美聯儲當前政策立場是什麼樣的
進入2026年，在2025年進行多次降息後，美聯儲政策利率一直保持穩定，當前聯邦基金利率處於一個反映謹慎立場的區間，旨在平衡通脹和就業目標。在2026年1月FOMC會議上，美聯儲將利率維持在3.50% – 3.75%的區間不變，強調對通脹和勞動力市場動態的擔憂。
這一區間明顯低於2024年前的峰值約5.25% – 5.50%，表明貨幣政策在最近幾個月根據經濟狀況變化而發生的轉變。從歷史上看，聯邦基金利率根據經濟週期從疫情時代的接近0%上升到通脹激增期間的高得多的水平，這表明這些決策如何深刻影響金融狀況。
為什麼當前市場預期維持不變而不是降息
幾個

4小时九笔中枢暴涨形态，强势震荡后仍看新高

这一波从60K级别启动的上涨，在3月4号完成向上突破后，一路拉升至76000美元附近，期间虽出现阻力与回撤，但整体结构始终保持强势，完全符合我们此前预判的九笔中枢升级暴涨形态。

首先重点看回调结构，这一波下探第九笔的走势，始终没有跌破前方中枢下沿，只是回调深度超出了多数人的预期。很多朋友在这一波急跌中容易被洗出局，本质原因是被价格波动带偏，而忽略了核心结构。这一轮深度回调，并非结构走坏，而是叠加了美伊冲突的突发消息面影响——冲突爆发恰逢周末，市场缺乏主力资金主动接盘，才引发了短期砸盘，主力洗盘力度确实超出常规，但结构上依旧健康。

在获得有效支撑后，3月9号开盘行情直接开启反攻，这一笔上涨的力度，我们此前在画笔推演中就明确强调：第九笔上涨必须超过前一笔离开中枢段。从当前走势可以清晰看到，这一笔的拉升力度、上涨幅度都明显强于前一段，暴涨形态的所有条件已经全部满足，结构上确认有效。

接下来是大家最关心的问题：这波上涨结束了吗？
在76000美元位置，盘面确实出现了顶分型信号，但我们不能单一依据顶分型判定趋势反转。从价格表现看，从76K回调至74K，回调幅度极小，这本身就是极强的强势信号。

很多交易者会陷入一个误区：认为4小时级别出现顶分型，就一定会对应4小时级别的深度回调。其实并非如此，关键要看内部30分钟走势类型是否具备破

$W 對上升漲勢看起來不錯。👀

Breaking Free From Losses · Don't Let Drawdowns Drag You Down

The taste of being deeply stuck, only those who endure it know.
Positions weighing on your mind, can't sleep, staring at charts until your eyes ache,
afraid of rallies, afraid of drops, caught between a rock and a hard place.

Your "wait a bit longer and I'll break even"
is actually handing control over to the market.
The more you hold on, the more passive you become, the more you wait, the more worn out you get,
and in the end it's not breaking even, it's being eliminated by the market.

A losing position isn't a dead end,
reck

📊 Gate Live Returns to Streamer Rankings · Real-time Updates
✔ Multiple Streamers Have Unlocked Cash Rewards
✔ Leaderboard Competition Heats Up
✔ Rankings Continue to Change
Return Now, Still Have a Chance to Break into Top
🎁 Benefits Continuously Being Distributed
👉 Start Streaming Now: https://www.gate.com/live?type=apply
📄 Activity Details: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/50057

#Gate13thAnniversaryGlobalCelebration 🎉🌍 #Gate13thAnniversaryGlobalCelebration 🎉🌍
我們正在慶祝 Gate 的13年旅程！🚀
這13年是創新、成長以及對全球加密社區的奉獻的成果。
✨ 重點亮點：
全球數百萬用戶獲得支持
推出先進的交易工具和人工智能整合
連接並促進加密社區的成長
讓我們在這個週年慶典中共同慶祝，並將未來推向新的高峰！💫
#CryptoCommunity #Innovation #GateExchange

💥突發新聞:
🇮🇷 伊朗外交部長阿拉格契表示,美國被「以色列,或更確切地說被內塔尼亞胡本人拉進了這場戰爭」。
#breaking #news

早安☕️
$wojak 🔥

提醒你讓贏家繼續奔跑。

$PI Tonight will feature a big needle downward insertion, please stay tuned, 015.

您想交易中國互聯網ETF但難以接觸嗎？只需在Hyperliquid上操作即可。
KWEB = KraneShares CSI中國互聯網ETF

🔥 新聞：鯊魚平指示員工偽造數據幫助皮普先生通過銀行錢包洗錢超過213億越南盾

Time really does have magic! In the Crypto world where "one day in the coin circle equals one year in the human world," Gate has unknowingly gone through 13 years! 🎂✨
Usually busy checking market trends, connecting with needs, and following up on every VIP's feedback, but occasionally pausing to look back, I'm amazed at how much foundation the company has accumulated.
It can be said that it is countless instances of your trust that have built Gate's weighty 13 years.
💖 Happy birthday, my Gate!
In this new year, Mina will continue to be by your side, being your most thoughtful and reliable su

幸亏让普币我提前平仓，不然又被套了

$SIREN 這波行情看著是真就是莊家開始套現一樣，一路猛冲，感覺完全無視基本面和重力法則。
這種直線上拉的走勢，說白了更像是資金在最後階段的情緒宣洩。類似的劇本市場裡見得不少——前面鋪墊，後面加速，等散戶情緒被徹底點燃，往往就到了兌現的時候。
現在漲得越猛，反而越需要警惕。這種沒有節奏、純靠拉升堆出來的高度，一旦資金鬆手，回撤通常也會非常乾脆，絕對會出現斷崖式下跌。 $SIREN ‌

【$MUSDT Signal】Short Squeeze Pullback, Bulls Building Momentum
$MUSDT On the 4H timeframe, after a volume breakout above 1.9, there was a pullback with shrinking volume, but price found support at the key 1.86 level, showing selling pressure exhaustion. Buy depth is significantly weaker than sell depth, yet under positive funding rates the price didn't collapse, indicating bears lack strength to push down. Main capital is protecting and accumulating at key levels—a textbook healthy pullback after a short squeeze.
🎯 Direction: Long
⚡ Entry: 1.860 - 1.870
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.748
🚀 Targets: 2.175

#Gate13周年全球庆典
Sometimes it feels like time moves very quickly in the crypto industry, but few platforms actually make it through 13 years.
Seeing Gate celebrate its 13th anniversary actually makes me a bit reflective—from originally being just a platform for crypto assets, to now gradually integrating traditional assets like stocks, precious metals, and indices, Gate has essentially transformed from running a "trading platform" into becoming a new asset gateway.
Especially over the past two years with the AI wave, many places are still stuck at the concept stage, but Gate has already started