The moment I opened my eyes this morning, the market completely confused me.
Last night, the big guy was still hovering around 67,000, and I woke up to a sudden jump to 71,600, now standing near 72,100.
Honestly, my first reaction wasn't happiness, but annoyance.
Main players love to secretly move at midnight, specifically to harvest those who don't stay up late to watch the market.
Let me briefly explain what's really going on with this wave.
The external situation suddenly eased, funds moved out of traditional safe-haven assets,
then quickly turned around and treated our market as a short-term speculation spot, causing a rapid surge.
So don’t just shout “bull market is back” every time it rises; it’s not that simple.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, this rally looks fierce, but the volume simply can’t keep up,
without major institutional players truly entering the market to set up positions, large on-chain accounts are still slowly reducing their holdings.
Related capital inflows are also intermittent and very weak.
Some say big institutions have added positions again, with an average cost around 68,500.
Remember this key range: 68,550 to 69,100,
This is a critical short-term support and the last bottom line for the bulls.
Holding this level can keep the market bouncing;
once broken, selling pressure will immediately surface.
So, how should we operate today?
My approach is simple: don’t chase highs, and don’t hold a full short position and stubbornly fight.
First, if the price surges to around 72,250 to 72,350,
I will try a small short position, with a stop loss at 73,500,
if it breaks, it means I was wrong, and I’ll exit immediately.
Second, if it pulls back and stabilizes around 69,750 to 70,100,
I can try a small long position, with a stop loss at 69,400,
if it breaks, I’ll exit—no fighting the trend.
All positions are kept very small, focusing on market feel, not betting on big moves.
This kind of trend isn’t meant to make you rich overnight,
but to preserve your capital and keep a steady mindset.
One last reminder:
Market sentiment has jumped from extreme panic straight to confidence,
many people are starting to feel safe again.
Historical experience tells us, this feeling is often the most dangerous.
Participate with light positions, strictly control risk, don’t get caught up.
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