Recent Trading Ideas Log:

1. Bitcoin Rebound (Optional) (Figure 1)
1) 0.382 is the conventional rebound level;
2) 0.5-0.618 is the rebound level that frustrates the bears;
3) Going higher than that is pure manipulation by whales (this oscillation range often reaches 0.786);

2. Short Positions After Rebound (Figure 2)
1) Still waiting for wave structure and complete formation.
2) The decline since 76000 is an impulsive wave, so it must be followed by at least one more impulsive wave. The strength of the first wave is quite good (close to 10000 points). Need to watch the ratio between the second and first impulsive waves. If it exceeds 1:1, then it will likely break the previous low, and breaking the previous low could trigger another impulsive wave.

3. $CRCL (Gaps and important consolidation zones marked in Figure 3)
1) Due to the previous rally being too strong, we're still in a stage where fervent belief hasn't cooled down. Unclear what this whale wants to do;
2) If both S&P and Nasdaq cooperate and collapse, then this stock could make a move to shake out those believers from this period;
3) It's been grinding above 120 for so long without breaking down. If it does come down, it must shake out those holding above 120. If it reaches the gap at 103-104, we can then assess the situation (unless it doesn't reach there. If it truly does, such an obvious level may not be the bottom). That would be the bargain hunting opportunity.

4. Gold (Rebound resistance around 4700+)
1) Just compared it, silver doesn't really appeal (moving ugly);
2) For gold, the levels aren't clear. If I had to choose between Bitcoin and gold, I'd pick Bitcoin because Bitcoin is playing an impulsive wave while gold is playing a corrective wave. Corrective waves can move however they want with uncertain rebound heights, whereas impulsive waves have determined targets.