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說實話在polymarket上玩天氣的我是能理解的,好歹自然科學可預測,懂氣象學的有優勢。
玩馬斯克發推數量的,
我覺得很像萬聖節前的火雞。
以及皇帝床前聽床的太監。
我知道有人用馬斯克歷史發推數據算概率去賺定價不充分的錢。但長期玩下去多少會影響自己的心理健康吧。