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最新消息:比特幣拒絕突破$90,000,"關稅緩解"反彈未能持續。
週末的反彈是一個陷阱。儘管美國與格陵蘭的關稅已被取消,比特幣未能在心理阻力位上維持動能,目前又回落至$88,455。"極度恐懼"情緒指數(Index 34)正壓倒地緣政治緩解的影響。
這很重要,因為市場結構正在削弱。
我們看到"現貨需求空缺"。未平倉合約已降至$27.9億,顯示機構正在降低風險,而非在這個水平積累。隨著$90,200的移動平均線作為天花板,最有利的路徑現在是測試關鍵的$85,600支撐位。
交易者應停止追逐"消息蠟燭",並關注成交量。除非我們有信心重新站上$94,000,否則這是一個資本保值的環境,而非"逢低買入"區域。
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