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浅談一下BTC未來一個月的走勢推演
1⃣
1)周線:價格低點逐漸抬高,MACD低位金叉預期,下跌趨勢減弱,上漲趨勢加強,明顯是周線級別B浪反彈,後續將迎來C浪下跌;
2)日線:反覆震盪上漲,低點逐漸抬高,但成交量和多頭量能一般;
3)ETF機構:最近兩個月,資金淨流出大於淨流入,ETF退二進一;
2⃣
基於上面成交量、資金和量能綜合分析,結合周線級ABC三浪下跌,預判如下:
1)若沒有重大利空或黑天鵝事件,BTC在2月初之前,價格會震盪上漲至9.85-10萬
2)BTC將在2月初完成B浪反彈,高點在10萬下方。請保持清醒,這是ABC三浪下跌的B浪死貓反彈,後續將開啟C浪大跌
3⃣
底部先看7萬附近,然後將迎來一波較大反彈,高點在8萬附近;
3)BTC這輪熊市真正大底部在5.8萬附近,出現時間可能在6月-8月,底部出現的具體時間無法準確預判。
我們邊看邊分析邊調整。大體周線級別下跌結構和價格點位如上所述。