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美國通脹預期上升就業前景惡化,或阻礙美聯儲本月調整利率
1 月 9 日,根據紐約聯儲的月度調查,12 月份美國通脹預期上升,而對就業機會的看法則處於至少 12.5 年來的最低水平。根據報告,消費者預計未來一年物價將上漲 3.4%,高於 11 月份的 3.2%。消費者對失業後找到新工作的概率估計值降至 43.1%,這是該銀行自 2013 年中期開始進行消費者預期調查以來的最低值。這些數據凸顯了美聯儲官員中更關心通脹與認為失業率上升風險更大的人之間的分歧。這一差距很可能阻礙美聯儲在本月晚些時候的下一次政策會議上調整利率。(金十)