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#比特币问世17周年 CME FedWatch 工具顯示,只有 4.4% 的經濟學家預測降息(這是十多年的首次),而佔主導地位的 95.6% 的經濟學家預計利率將穩定在 525-550 個基點之間。根據《Kobeissi Letter》,目前的市場數據顯示今年不會降息的可能性為 36%。四個月前,維持目前利率的可能性僅為 3% 左右。預期今年也只減少一次。此前,市場預計將有六次降息。此外,經歷兩次或多次降息的可能性已降至 31%。