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分析師:特朗普或將通過降關稅和退稅潮,推動美國經濟實現強勁增長
1 月 2 日,Yardeni Research 總裁 Ed Yardeni 預測,特朗普將把關稅由壁壘轉為籌碼,通過降關稅叠加退稅潮,推動美國經濟實現 3% 以上的強勁增長。物價壓力將成為催化劑,迫使特朗普政府從保護主義轉向貿易緩和,利用已達成的談判籌碼降低關稅。戰略目標已達成,白宮現在有條件通過削減關稅來緩解通脹壓力,財政部長貝森特也暗示關稅效力正在減弱。此外,Yardeni 警告,若發生重大地緣政治衝擊(如歐洲局勢惡化),所有經濟預測都將失效。(金十)