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瑞銀:預計在降息預期和AI投資推動下,標普500指數漲勢將持續
10 月 15 日,瑞銀本週表示,在穩健增長、联准会降息預期及強勁 AI 投資的推動下,預計標普 500 指數的漲勢將持續。該行預測第三季度每股收益(EPS)增長率將達約 10%。原因包括:· 消費支出韌性猶存:勞動力市場雖有所降溫但仍保持穩固,裁員率處於低位,薪資持續增長,職位空缺數量健康。瑞銀認爲這將爲經濟和企業利潤提供支撐。· AI 投資勢頭強勁:人工智能技術的應用及相關支出持續增長。瑞銀預計雲服務提供商將實現穩健收入增長,與 AI 基礎設施相關的企業盈利預期也將獲上調。· 政策支持與盈利向好:联准会降息與持續的企業盈利增長共同構築了有利環境。瑞銀相信即將到來的財報季將強化本輪牛市的基礎。