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#BTC 月线即将迎来收官节点,结合近期市场数据及技术指标综合分析,下月行情存在显著回调风险,价格大概率先回撤至85000支撑区间,不排除进一步下探的可能性。
从技术面观察,币价三次反弹触及95000关键阻力位均受压制回落,显示该区域抛压集中。近期成交量持续放大但价格滞涨,量价背离特征明确,反映上方抛压显著加剧,多头动能趋于衰减,市场解套盘出货意愿强烈。
主力资金当前或采取横盘震荡策略,促使月线收出阳线形态以维持技术面修复假象。短期来看,价格预计将在95000中枢区间展开震荡洗盘,消化套牢筹码。即使短期突破95780前高,向上空间亦较为有限:初步阻力位96200-96600,强阻力区域集中在97700附近,突破该区间需量能结构出现本质性改善。