# Ethereum Medium-to-Long Term Analysis

Currently, spot ETH is showing a slight inflow status, while ETF exhibits minor outflows. Long positions still dominate in terms of open interest, and short-term intraday buy orders at this level are significantly larger than sell orders. Data indicates a higher probability of upward movement. The current position is near the 2023 trend line from this rally and sits at the intersection of a daily-level support platform and trend line. The support strength here is quite robust. Currently, we can only hope this position holds given that it's a strong support level. If it breaks and fails to recover above 2020 on the 4-hour level, oscillation below 2020 would indicate future targets at 1026, 1820, and 1648 support levels, which are good short-term spot entry points for swing trading.

These positions will eventually come based on the chart—all are daily-level strong support zones suitable for establishing long swing positions with decent profit potential. If support holds near 2020, we should monitor 2122 tonight for potential shorting opportunities. After capturing a swing, if it breaks above 2122 pressure, continue swing trading and watch for strong resistance at 2170. Breaking through would trigger a rally toward new highs. Monitor 2250 and 2720 resistance levels above. Personally, I believe the current chip structure, news flow, timing, and global economic environment don't support a bull rally taking off. Any upside hold would be an opportunity to establish long-term short positions. A probe toward 1650 should be a high-probability event—the question is whether mid-term rallies shake out shorts before continuing down or if it drops directly.

I recommend entering at the chart positions with stop losses, then scaling out to trade trend continuation. Futures are high-risk; they're different from spot trading. Take profits when you have them—reduce positions. Don't let ego drive oversized positions for one round. Adding to floating profits while holding breakeven is the secret to surviving and achieving results. Everyone pay attention to risk management. Appreciate the likes and shares.