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#加密行情震荡 Macro Level: Bearish Sentiment Dominates
Federal Reserve Hawkish Stance: The latest FOMC meeting dot plot indicates only 0-1 rate cuts may occur in 2026, far below market expectations. Powell also explicitly stated he would not cut rates until inflation shows substantial progress. This directly undermines confidence in risk assets.
Geopolitical Risk: Tensions in the Middle East have driven up oil prices, intensifying market concerns about "stagflation" and triggering sell-offs in traditional safe-haven assets including gold and silver. Markets are broadly seeking to liquidate into cash.
Market Sentiment & Data: Extreme Panic
Fear & Greed Index: Has dropped to 11, representing "extreme fear" levels, indicating market sentiment has reached rock bottom.
Capital Flows: Both Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs show significant net outflows, demonstrating that institutional capital is tilted toward exiting in the short term.
Liquidations: Over the past 24 hours, massive liquidations have occurred network-wide, with over 80% being long positions forcibly liquidated, indicating this selloff is primarily driven by longs liquidating longs.