$ETH #ETHLongShortBattle

1. 4-Hour Chart: The Direction

The 4H chart provides the macro view. We are looking for the trend and key structural levels.

· Current Price: 1,938.58
· Trend Definition: Bullish Momentum.
· Price is trading significantly above the 4H Bollinger Bands (BOLL) mid-line (1,890.50).
· The MACD shows a strong bullish setup. While the DIF (-12.66) and DEA (-23.52) are negative, they are converging sharply upward, and the histogram (MACD: 10.86) is positive and growing. This indicates momentum is shifting aggressively to the upside.
· SAR (Parabolic SAR): 1,822.42. Price is well above this indicator, confirming the long bias.
· Key Levels:
· Resistance: The Upper Bollinger Band (UB) at 1,983.89 is the immediate target. A break above the recent high of 1,945.00 targets this level.
· Support: The nearest support cluster is the previous resistance turned support around the 1,858.12 - 1,800.00 range.

4H Verdict: The trend is Bullish. We are looking for buying opportunities on pullbacks.

2. 1-Hour Chart: Liquidity Zones
On the 1H, we identify where "smart money" will likely place orders (stop-losses or entries). These are the highs and lows of the recent range.

· Current Price: 1,938.52
· Liquidity Above (Resistance):
· Immediate High: 1,945.00 (24h High). This is a minor resistance.
· Major Target: The 1H Upper Bollinger Band at 1,947.01.
· Psychological Resistance: The 2,037.06 level visible on the chart's right side.
· Liquidity Below (Support):
· Immediate Support: The 1H SAR level at 1,884.80. A break below this would weaken the immediate bullish structure.
· Key Support: The 1H Bollinger Mid-line (BOLL) at 1,888.08. This is the first major value area.
· Major Support: The Lower Bollinger Band (LB) at 1,829.16.

1H Verdict: Price is attempting to break above the 1,945.00 - 1,947.01 resistance zone. We need confirmation of a breakout or a rejection to plan the next move.

3. 15-Minute Chart: Break of Structure (BOS) / Change of Character (CHoCH)

This timeframe tells us if the internal market structure is aligning with the 4H trend.

· Current Price: 1,939.74
· Market Structure: The 15M chart shows a clear Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) .
· Price recently broke above a consolidation range (roughly 1,917.59 to 1,932.05).
· The candles are currently printing higher highs and holding above the mid-Bollinger level.
· Confirmation:
· CHoCH (Change of Character): A CHoCH would occur if price breaks below the last higher low (swing low). Currently, that level is near 1,932.05. As long as price stays above this, the structure is bullish.
· Momentum: The MACD on 15M (2.29) is positive but flat, suggesting a slight cooldown before the next leg up.

15M Verdict: Internal structure is Bullish (BOS confirmed). We are waiting for a minor pullback to enter.

4. 5-Minute Chart: Trade Plan Execution

This is where we execute based on the confluence from the higher timeframes.

The Setup:

· 4H Trend: Bullish (We buy).
· 1H Liquidity: Price is approaching a major high (1,945.00).
· 15M Structure: Bullish BOS confirmed.

Execution Plan (Long):

Scenario A: The Retrace Entry (Preferable)
We want to buy a pullback into value before the next push up.

1. Trigger: Wait for price to pull back to a demand zone on the 5M chart.
2. Entry Zone: 1,935.00 - 1,937.00.
· Reasoning: This zone is just above the previous structure high (1,932.09) and the 15M mid-Bollinger area. It acts as a support flip.
3. Stop-Loss (SL): Place SL at 1,930.00.
· Reasoning: A tight 5-7 point stop below the recent swing low (1,930.87 SAR) and the psychological 1,930 level.
4. Take-Profit (TP):
· TP1 (Partial): 1,945.00 (24h High). Lock in profits.
· TP2 (Remainder): 1,948.50 (trailing stop or target a break of the recent 15M high).

Scenario B: The Breakout Entry (Aggressive)

1. Trigger: A strong 5M candle closes decisively above 1,942.08 (the 5M supply level).
2. Entry: Market buy at 1,942.50.
3. Stop-Loss (SL): Place SL at 1,939.00 (below the breakout candle).
4. Take-Profit (TP):
· TP: 1,948.00 - 1,950.00.

Risk Management:

· Ensure the risk on this trade does not exceed 1-2% of your portfolio.
· If price immediately rejects from 1,940 without pulling back, stand aside. Do not chase.

Summary: The confluence is strong for a continued move higher. Look to buy the dip on the 5M chart, with a tight stop below 1,930.