The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 90.3%, with a 9.7% chance of a rate cut.

2026-02-13 15:13:54

Mars Finance reports that, according to Jintou, before the CPI release, based on CME “Federal Reserve Watch,” the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until March is 90.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 9.7%. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point rate cut is 28.1%, the probability of holding rates steady is 69.7%, and the probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 2.2%. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 49.4%.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.