Weekly plan BTC / ETH — institutional perspective

1️⃣ Market mode:
• baseline scenario: balance / range
• impulses are possible only after confirmation with consolidation
• priority: working from liquidity zones
➡️ the plan adapts when the mode changes
2️⃣ Key zones:
BTC
🔺 Upper zone: 89,200 – 90,200
⚖️ Balance: 87,200 – 88,000
🔻 Lower zone: 85,500 – 86,200
📉 Deep support: 83,800 – 84,200
ETH
🔺 Upper zone: 3,000 – 3,050
⚖️ Balance: 2,880 – 2,940
🔻 Lower zone: 2,820 – 2,860
📉 Deep support: 2,720 – 2,750
3️⃣ Scenarios:
A — range
• shorts from upper zones after reaction
• longs from lower zones after protection
• partial entries, target — middle of the range
B — breakout upward
• confirmation: consolidation above the upper zone + volume growth without sharp increase in OI
• actions: do not short, wait for retest, work only long
C — breakdown downward
• confirmation: loss of the lower zone + OI growth
• actions: avoid catching the knife, wait for reaction at deep support, reduce position size
4️⃣ Risk management:
• risk per scenario: 0.5–1%
• no more than 2 stops in a row
• after 2 stops — pause
• no trading in the middle of the range
5️⃣ Weekly timing:
• Mon–Tue: range formation, fake moves
• Wed–Thu: main volume, liquidity removal
• Fri: fixations, false breakouts
• weekends: low liquidity, limited positions
6️⃣ Monitoring:
• open interest
• funding
• price reaction to key zones
• daily close
💡 Principle: adaptation is more important than prediction. If the market does not provide conditions — institutional traders wait.
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