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Bitcoin on alert: Parabolic trajectory towards $150,000 or warning of imminent collapse?
The current macroeconomic landscape shows signs that some analysts cannot ignore. While Bitcoin is currently trading around $87.37K with a daily change of -0.85%, global economic experts like Henrik Zeberg are raising scenarios of extreme volatility that deserve market attention.
The historical pattern that raises concern
The correlation between Bitcoin and traditional stock indices has strengthened significantly. Zeberg draws parallels with the economic crisis of 1930, a period marked by historic crashes and severe contractions in the credit system. According to his analysis, the current overvaluation in stock markets exhibits similar characteristics to that era, with accumulated risks in shadow banking and private credit.
The two-phase theory: euphoria followed by correction
The projected scenario indicates a parabolic trajectory for Bitcoin toward $150,000 before the end of the year, followed by a historic crash to levels below $10,000. This two-stage movement would reflect the typical dynamics of speculative bubbles, where initial enthusiasm collapses upon realization of underlying macroeconomic risks.
What does this mean for the market?
The main warning is that Bitcoin does not move in isolation. Its behavior is linked to monetary policy decisions, credit conditions, and global risk sentiment. A “severe storm” in the financial system would impact the entire spectrum of assets, from stocks to cryptocurrencies.
Investors face a dilemma: assess whether price movements reflect fundamental value or are simply extended speculative cycles amplified by the current macroeconomic context.