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Many people compare ADA's performance to altcoins, thinking that at least altcoins' rises and falls are straightforward, and they can have a clear idea of when to run. But ADA's issues might be more hidden—many were persuaded to buy at prices like 3U, 8U, and ended up buying more as the price fell, completely unaware of where the other side's chips are coming from.
For example, suppose you invested 10,000U at the current price and the price drops by 50%, leaving your account with 1,000U. It sounds terrible. But from another perspective, the other side had already accumulated positions worth tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of U at a price of 0.03. Under the same decline, their unrealized gains and risk tolerance are on a completely different level.
This is why there are always calls to bottom out, and why trading volume becomes more active as prices fall—because the distribution of chips has been unequal from the start. New retail investors entering the market have no cost advantage and are only destined for passive holding. In this situation, the phrase "believing in the project" becomes particularly hollow.
The more it drops, the more you buy, which is a trap. The cost of 0.03 and 8U are on completely different levels.
"Trust the project"? Brother, this is a signal that the story has already been told.
Just look at the on-chain data, and you'll see that the chips are no longer in retail hands.
Actually, ADA is now just a game of holding coins and waiting to die. If you don't have a cost advantage, don't bother messing around.
Whoever calls the bottom in this wave is just helping the big players lift the cart. Be aware of that.
Really, the more active a coin is, the more cautious you should be. That's the big players absorbing the chips.
People who buy more as it drops clearly haven't figured out who they're betting against. How can you win with a tenfold difference in cost basis?
"Believing in a project" is indeed a huge joke. If you don't have the chips, don't talk about those trivial things.