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#美联储回购协议计划 During holidays, liquidity tightens, providing everyone with a breather. These days, the US stock market is on holiday, so we will discuss trading strategies and market analysis together.
The overall situation remains volatile. During the US holiday, negative news has basically disappeared, and BlackRock has also stopped selling, instead increasing holdings in Bitcoin and Ethereum recently. The current sluggish market is mainly a residual effect of the adjustment on October 11. To regain bullish confidence, we need positive signals from policy. I remain bullish on the major trend for next year, and after the holiday, we should see some proactive moves, so there's no need to be overly pessimistic.
In the past few days, Bitcoin has been fluctuating between around 8600 and 9100. In a low liquidity environment, major players often use holidays to do false breakouts to harvest liquidity. It is recommended to set stop-loss orders on one side or hold light positions with supplementary buying strategies; the key is position control. I lean towards a bullish stance at low levels. In the short term, the bottom should be nearby. If the current support level holds during the holiday, there is a high probability of a rapid rebound after being knocked down—liquidity has accumulated quite sufficiently, and a major liquidation event is imminent. I am bullish on this round.
**$BTC Trading Plan:**
Aggressive shorts around 87800, reduce positions or stop-loss quickly if it drops 400 points. Alternatively, add to longs at 88300, with stop-loss above 88500. Place a safe short order at 89500, with a low probability of execution within the day, stop-loss 500 points, take-profit 1000 points. For longs, position around 87000; if broken, add at 86000, with a stop-loss of 500 points and take-profit of 1000 points. The extreme bottom is at 83800.
**$ETH Trading Plan:**
Aggressive short at 2970 with a 15-point stop-loss and a 30-point take-profit. Conservative short at 3000 with the same stop-loss and take-profit, with an extreme target of 3033. For longs, position around 2930; if broken, place orders at 2900, with a 10-point stop-loss and 30-point take-profit, aiming for reduction of positions. Steady longs at 2870, with a 15-point stop-loss to play for the bottom, with an extreme target of 2805.
**$SOL Trading Plan:**
Long positions at 120.6 with a 1-point stop-loss and 2-point take-profit, aiming for a bottom at 118. Extreme bottom at 118. Short positions at 124.7 with a 1-point stop-loss and 2-point reduction. Aggressive short at 127.5, with a 1-point stop-loss and 2-point take-profit.
The core logic is: during low liquidity periods, major players often use false breakouts to harvest liquidity, so defense must be strict. Light positions combined with stop-loss orders are the best strategy. $BTC