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December 24 BTC Technical Analysis and Strategy (as of 13:00, current price about 87200 USD)

• Core Judgment: Short-term bearish fluctuations, primarily focusing on high shorts and supplemented by low longs; low liquidity during the Christmas holiday, strictly control positions and stop losses.

Key Price Level (Multi-Period)

• Support: 87000 (intraday) → 85200 (4H) → 84000-84500 (daily strong support) → 80600 (extreme defense)

• Resistance: 87800 (4H midline) → 88500 (Fibonacci) → 90000 (psychological/trend line) → 94588 (daily confirmation level)

Indicator Overview

• Daily: RSI 44.57 (Neutral); MACD red bar slightly expanded but the main line remains negative, bearish structure unchanged.

• 4 hours: The moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, and the price is near the lower Bollinger Band, showing weak rebound.

• 2 hours: Short-term oversold correction, rebound meets resistance and turns to short signal

Executable Strategies (By Scenario)

1. High Altitude Strategy (Main Strategy)

◦ Open position: 87500-87800 faces resistance (such as top reversal/volume contraction), light position 10%-15% short

◦ Adding positions: If it rebounds to 88500-89000 and encounters resistance, add 10% to the short position.

◦ Stop Loss: Set uniformly above 90200 (daily resistance + holiday volatility buffer)

◦ Take Profit: First target 85200 (reduce position by 50%), second target 84000-84500 (liquidate position)

2. Low Long Strategy (Auxiliary, only executed when support is effective)

◦ Open position: Stabilize at 84000-84500 (such as bottom formation/volume rebound), light position 10% long position

◦ Stop Loss: Below 83500 (reverse if it breaks strong support)

◦ Take Profit: 86500-87000 (rebound resistance area, exit in batches)

3. Response to Breakout

◦ Break 90200 and hold: Long on a pullback to 89000-89500, stop loss at 88500, target 92000-93000

◦ Break below 83500: Short on rebound to 84000-84500, stop loss at 85000, target 80600

Risk Control Rules

• Total position ≤30%, single variety ≤15%; single stop loss ≤2% of the account

• Poor liquidity during the Christmas holiday, avoid holding large positions overnight; try to reduce positions to light or liquidate before the close.

• The options delivery week (12.26) is approaching, be wary of a double kill on both bulls and bears, do not chase highs or lows.
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