Recently, there have been endless posts on the square about large contract liquidations, especially for popular coins like Ethereum. But think carefully—do professional contract traders really make such basic mistakes in position management?
The answer often lies not in the liquidation itself, but in the market cycle patterns. Observing recent trends, it's not hard to see—the market accumulates short positions during the preparation phase, and after gathering enough shorts, it suddenly surges upward like a rocket, triggering stop-losses for many short traders. This process is essentially a cleansing of floating positions, paving the way for the next big move.
If you have enough patience and discipline, accumulating Ethereum spot holdings at this stage is a good choice. Conservatively, $8,500 is a key support level; as long as this price holds, there's no need to be bearish. Give yourself 90 days, and you'll likely be grateful for the decision you make now.
Of course, for someone like me, a newbie, using a small amount of funds to experience the contract market can indeed help understand market logic. But the prerequisite is strict position control. Even with just a $2 trade, you should be as cautious as a master trader—only then can you avoid being fooled by superficial market fluctuations.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
13 Likes
Reward
13
6
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
CryptoGoldmine
· 12-14 21:08
8500 is indeed a key point, but considering the difficulty adjustment cycle of the mining network, it's now more important to focus on ROI rather than simply hoarding spot holdings.
I agree with the data logic behind this round of clearing floating positions; from a technological iteration perspective, there are indeed layout opportunities.
The 90-day cycle is a bit conservative; historical data on mining returns suggests that at least 150 days are needed for safety.
The position control point is well taken. My mining pool configuration also adheres to the same strict control principles, and trading at $2 can also teach us something.
However, looking at the difficulty adjustment growth curve, holding ETH spot is acceptable, but it’s not as elegant as a mining power layout.
Currently, the mining power ROI is in a good position, offering a more balanced return than simply all-in on spot holdings.
This is the difference between rational investors and gamblers: strictly controlling investment return cycles and focusing on improving efficiency rather than scale expansion.
View OriginalReply0
BoredStaker
· 12-13 18:50
Having suffered a liquidation loss, now I only trust holding coins in spot trading.
I've heard a lot about cleaning out floating positions, and it does make sense.
Is 8500 really the bottom? It feels like it will drop further.
90 days is too long; I can't wait that long.
Playing with small contracts to get a feel for the market is a good strategy.
Position management is really the first lesson; otherwise, all efforts are meaningless.
Watching liquidation news every day, how are there still people willing to go all-in?
Wait, is the logic saying that now is the time to enter the market?
A $2 order can also blow up; truly absolute.
Watching the short sellers get wiped out feels really satisfying.
Holding coins in spot waiting for the wind to come—sounds like such a vague strategy.
View OriginalReply0
orphaned_block
· 12-13 18:50
Bro, I've heard this set of theories too many times. Every time they say it's "clearing out the floating positions," but it just breaks through the support level directly.
NGL, holding spot assets sounds comfortable, but how many people are really willing to go all in?
Futures contracts are just like gambling; you can lose so much that you start doubting life even at $2.
Is 8500 really the bottom? I feel like there's more below.
By the way, some of the people getting liquidated are indeed professional traders. Don't think everyone is that simple.
View OriginalReply0
FreeRider
· 12-13 18:46
Really, looking at those liquidation screenshots makes me numb—it's just a bunch of rookies playing with leverage.
Holding spot for 90 days? Sounds pretty good, just afraid I don't have that patience haha.
If 8500 can't hold, I'll admit defeat. Anyway, risking small amounts won't kill anyone.
The market's tricks are deep; only after cleaning up do they start telling stories.
I only dare to trade contracts with two dollars, or else I might get cut into a noob.
By the way, when will this round of the market come? I'm a bit tired of waiting.
Position management is easy to talk about but really hard to do; I haven't controlled it well.
I've figured out this whole shorting thing, just waiting to see who can hold on until that moment.
View OriginalReply0
LiquidityWitch
· 12-13 18:36
nah the real alchemy here is watching retail get sacrificed at the altar of $8500... those "professionals" didn't slip up, they just got caught in the liquidation ritual fr fr
Reply0
BlockchainDecoder
· 12-13 18:25
From a technical perspective, the logic of "raising shorts - clearing out floating positions" is actually worth scrutinizing... Data shows that market manipulation is much more difficult than the article suggests.
Wait, isn't 8500 really a solid support? Citing on-chain data analysis reports, the historical break probability isn't actually that low.
Hold on, drawing conclusions in 90 days with this assumption itself is problematic—returning to the market's essence, does the cyclical pricing model really hold in high volatility environments?
The logic behind contract liquidations is indeed complex, but the term "套路论" (套路 theory) is a bit too absolute... Research indicates that in most cases, it's still a risk management issue.
Honestly, the idea of "be cautious" in the $2 trading school has caused several projects to fail... The mindset of beginners in simulation versus real trading is completely different.
Recently, there have been endless posts on the square about large contract liquidations, especially for popular coins like Ethereum. But think carefully—do professional contract traders really make such basic mistakes in position management?
The answer often lies not in the liquidation itself, but in the market cycle patterns. Observing recent trends, it's not hard to see—the market accumulates short positions during the preparation phase, and after gathering enough shorts, it suddenly surges upward like a rocket, triggering stop-losses for many short traders. This process is essentially a cleansing of floating positions, paving the way for the next big move.
If you have enough patience and discipline, accumulating Ethereum spot holdings at this stage is a good choice. Conservatively, $8,500 is a key support level; as long as this price holds, there's no need to be bearish. Give yourself 90 days, and you'll likely be grateful for the decision you make now.
Of course, for someone like me, a newbie, using a small amount of funds to experience the contract market can indeed help understand market logic. But the prerequisite is strict position control. Even with just a $2 trade, you should be as cautious as a master trader—only then can you avoid being fooled by superficial market fluctuations.