2025-12-08 07:25:20

The market is about to get real this week.

The most intense wave of central bank decisions for 2025 is brewing, with the five major economies about to simultaneously reveal their monetary policy cards. Are your positions ready to take this round of heavy blows?

The hardest hit comes from the Federal Reserve. At 3:00 AM on Thursday, the FOMC rate decision will hit the market right on time, with updated economic projections released simultaneously. At 3:30, Powell will step up for a press conference, where any offhand remark could send the market into a frenzy.

But don’t just focus on the Fed.

Will the Bank of Canada follow with a rate cut? Where will Swiss policy send safe-haven funds? The Reserve Bank of Australia has always been a compass for commodities, and the jokes hidden in Bank of England Governor Bailey’s speeches often sway the pound.

Right now, the market’s expectation for a Fed rate cut has soared to nearly 90%, but anyone who’s been through a few cycles knows—the real game-changer isn’t whether they cut or not, but whether the dot plot paints a big enough picture, and whether Powell’s tone is hawkish enough.

What’s the biggest risk? When the shoe finally drops and it’s bearish news—when expectations are met and everyone rushes for the exit, that’s when things get really dangerous.

In the face of these macro-level waves, the first rule of investing is always: don’t die first—only by surviving do you have the right to talk about making money.

Spend less time staring at candlesticks and more time checking the calendar these days. Even for crypto assets like BTC and ETH, you still need to pay close attention to central banks around the world. The market doesn’t believe in faith, only in the face of liquidity.

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ETH-4.67%

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BlockchainTherapist

· 12-10 03:10

Powell's mouth opens, and my position has to shake, when is this day a head? --- The sentence that the boots hit the ground and became bearish was so heart-wrenching that it was expected to be killed every time --- With a 90% probability of interest rate cuts, I am afraid that the 10% black swan will directly liquidate me --- Instead of waiting for death on the K-line, it is better to study the rise of the corners of the mouths of central banks, really --- The face of liquidity is worth more than faith, and this sentence should hit the heads of all people in the currency circle --- I must have gotten up again at three o'clock in the morning on Thursday, this business is too tiring --- No matter how big the pie of the dot matrix map is, it is not as real as Powell's tone

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GasFeeCry

· 12-09 00:37

I remember the phrase "when the shoe drops, it becomes bearish news." This is why I always get the timing wrong.

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BitcoinDaddy

· 12-08 07:54

The phrase "when the shoe drops, it turns into a bearish signal" really hit me. 90% of expectations have already been priced in ahead of time, and the real killer move hasn't even appeared yet.

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ImpermanentTherapist

· 12-08 07:48

90% of the expectations have already been priced in; the real action is in the dot plot. As soon as Powell opens his mouth, the market will tremble. When the other shoe drops, that's the signal for a sell-off—this time, it might get bloody.

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LadderToolGuy

· 12-08 07:42

This time it's really not a drill—you have to stay alert at 3 a.m., or you might wake up to find everything gone. Powell’s mouth is deadlier than any candlestick chart; one sentence from him can crash the market in minutes. After all these years, it’s still the same playbook—rate cuts are just talk, the real key is the narrative he sells. Whether he’s hawkish or dovish, one line can flip the entire market. When the shoe finally drops, that’s the scariest part—when all expectations are priced in, it can actually turn bearish, and during a stampede, no one can escape. This week, just pay close attention to the central banks. Belief is worth little; liquidity is everything. Survive first—don’t dream of getting rich overnight. Only those who survive have the right to talk about making money. With the five major central banks acting at the same time, it’s probably going to be another heart-pounding week. There’s a 90% chance of a rate cut on the table, yet the market is still waiting for the dot plot—that’s the essence of the game. Watch fewer candlestick charts and flip through the calendar more. For the next few days, just focus on what the central banks are saying.

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TokenomicsDetective

· 12-08 07:39

As soon as Powell started speaking, I went all in on shorts, betting that this time he'll be hawkish without easing.

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NFTragedy

· 12-08 07:38

A 90% probability of a rate cut sounds good, but those in the know understand that what really kills is Powell’s mouth. The harshest squeeze comes after expectations are realized. --- “The shoe drops and it turns bearish”—this saying is spot on; it happens every time, and retail investors always die before dawn. --- Instead of watching candlesticks, you might as well watch the calendar. Central banks are taking turns this week, and we’re just lambs to the slaughter. Let’s pray liquidity doesn’t get too bad. --- The dot plot is deadlier than the answer itself. Whether it’s hawkish or dovish depends entirely on how that chart is drawn. The market already priced in the rate cut; now it’s just waiting for the reversal. --- Don’t die yet, I’m using this line now. No matter how much faith you have in BTC, you still have to bow to the central banks—liquidity is the real king. --- Five major central banks acting at the same time? Bro, I just want to survive until next Monday. I’m already at half position. --- Powell’s 3 a.m. comment is worth hundreds of millions. I don’t even dare sleep, afraid I’ll miss the moment the market goes wild. --- Will the Bank of Canada follow the cut? What is the Swiss National Bank up to? What’s the Reserve Bank of Australia saying? Damn, is this a math test or gambling? --- A collective stampede is deadlier than a crash. The real death trap is when all the expectations are fulfilled.

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