2025-12-07 12:24:59

This recent market move has really left me confused.

I've been watching those whale addresses, and they're all raking in profits like crazy—the on-chain data is enough to make anyone jealous. But then I look at my own account? It’s nothing but a sea of red.

Sometimes I really wonder: if all the wallets I’m tracking are making money, then where is the losing money coming from? Is the market specifically targeting retail investors like me?

Or maybe what I’m seeing is just survivorship bias—the addresses quietly losing money never make it onto the popular tracking lists?

I'm at a loss. I really don’t understand the rules of this game.

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 5h ago

I also followed the big wallets, but still ended up getting rekt. It's so hopeless. Isn't this just survivor bias? The ones who lose never make it to the trending topics. Damn, even when I follow on-chain data to buy the dip, I still end up as the last bag holder. The whales eat the meat and we get the soup, but in the end, there's not even any soup left. To put it bluntly, it's all about the information gap. When they already know, we're still hesitating. I'm numb now. Not checking on-chain anymore—it just makes me feel worse.

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ParallelChainMaxi

· 12-07 12:55

Can't even copy someone else's homework correctly, let alone understand on-chain data. That's so me.

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BackrowObserver

· 12-07 12:51

The money whales make is just taken from us retail investors, isn’t that obvious? Following the whales is a joke; by the time you notice, they’re already out. I thought of the survivor bias concept long ago, but now it’s too late to realize it anyway. I really don’t understand these game rules; I guess I’m just destined to lose money. After watching the charts for so long and still seeing red, I think maybe trading crypto just isn’t for me.

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TopBuyerForever

· 12-07 12:44

Haha, your idea really resonates with me. I also watch whale movements every day, but I still end up getting rekt badly. Following whales is like gambling—they've already set up their positions long ago, and by the time we notice, we're just exit liquidity. But honestly, those wallets that lost so much they went silent never make it to the trending topics. The narrative is always a celebration of the survivors. Now I just stop looking at the trackers; it's just self-torture anyway, and my money stays the same. Instead of analyzing whales, it's better to figure out why I always end up chasing pumps and panic selling.

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ForkItAllDay

· 12-07 12:27

Following the whales ended up getting rekt, but it is what it is. Whales don’t always win either; it’s just that those who lose delete their accounts so you don’t see them. To put it plainly, it’s survivor bias—we only see the winners who are still active. Monitoring those wallets is actually useless, we can’t replicate their moves. Everyone is confused in this cycle, so don’t be too hard on yourself. The money you lose just goes into the hands of those who profit, it’s normal. It’s basically a zero-sum game—if someone wins, someone else has to lose.

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PhantomHunter

· 12-07 12:25

Damn, isn’t this exactly my daily routine lately? Watching whales feast while I settle for the scraps, and in the end, I don’t even get the scraps. The whales are making bank while I’m still losing money. Should’ve realized long ago that this game was never meant for retail investors. Survivorship bias is real—those liquidated addresses disappeared from history long ago, and what we can’t see will always remain unseen. Honestly, the wallets we can monitor are the ones that survived; the ones that died have already been wiped out. How can anyone not feel hopeless when comparing like this? Following the whales is a trap too. By the time we see the plate, they’ve already finished eating. Always a step behind.

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