#美国经济数据与趋势 Seeing this NABE annual survey report, I feel the outlook for the US economy is still promising. Next year's GDP growth is expected to reach 2%, which is slightly higher than the previous forecast of 1.8%. Personal consumption and business investment are expected to be the main drivers of growth, which should be good news for the stock market. However, we should also be wary of the negative impact of tariffs, which could drag growth down by 0.25 percentage points.

On the inflation front, it is expected to be around 2.9% by year-end and could drop to 2.6% next year, but it remains at a relatively high level. This means the Federal Reserve may continue to take a cautious approach. The job market doesn't look very optimistic either, with only about 64,000 new jobs expected to be added each month, far below the recent average.

Combined with Deutsche Bank's forecast, the S&P 500 Index could reach 8,000 points by the end of 2026. This target looks very attractive, but I would advise everyone to remain rational and not chase the highs blindly. After all, there are too many uncertainties in the market, and investment strategies should be based on one’s own risk tolerance. I will continue to follow the moves of outstanding traders, adjust my copy trading strategies when appropriate, and strive to find a balance between risk and return.