#美联储政策预期 This wave of market action really makes me feel a lot of emotions. The Fed is sending signals again, saying there's over an 80% chance of a rate cut in December, and Bitcoin immediately surged to $89,000. But we can't be blinded by these surface-level appearances. I've been through too many of these brief frenzies caused by "positive news," and they always end up in disappointment.

The current market is like dancing on the edge of a knife—seemingly lively, but actually full of hidden dangers. The louder the voices shouting "the bull market is here," the more cautious I become. Don't forget, institutions are the real driving force behind the market, and they won't let retail investors profit easily.

My advice is to stay clear-headed and not get swept up by short-term fluctuations. Closely monitor upcoming retail data and ETF fund flows—these are the real factors that impact the market. If you really want to participate, make sure to manage your risk and set stop-losses. Remember, in this market, surviving longer is more important than making more money.