What if prediction markets just... replaced shopping altogether?
Picture this: I'm craving kiwis. Instead of opening some delivery app, I spin up a prediction market—"Will someone drop 4 kiwis at my door?" I load $15 into the "no" side. That's my bet against it happening.
Some guy cruising by on an e-bike spots the market. He's thinking, "Easy money." Swings by a fruit stand, grabs the kiwis, pedals over. Right before he rings my doorbell, he buys out the "yes" side. Market resolves. He pockets the spread. I get my kiwis.
No middleman. No platform fee eating into margins. Just pure game theory making stuff move. The incentive structure does all the work—someone always wants to prove you wrong when there's money on the table. It's Uber without Uber. DoorDash without the dash of corporate rent-seeking.
Prediction markets aren't just for elections anymore. They're infrastructure. They're how we might coordinate literally anything when the stakes are clear and the oracle's honest. Wild how a simple betting mechanism could rewire commerce from the ground up.
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LiquidationAlert
· 12-06 16:03
Brilliant, you really nailed it this time.
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RetailTherapist
· 12-06 16:03
Guessing the market is quite fun.
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YieldFarmRefugee
· 12-06 16:00
The idea is beautiful, but not realistic.
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DuckFluff
· 12-06 15:55
Innovative and reliable
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GateUser-2fce706c
· 12-06 15:45
A trend that was mentioned long ago
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ZenChainWalker
· 12-06 15:42
Give me a prediction and take me away.
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ForkPrince
· 12-06 15:35
The mechanism is interesting but not very reliable.
What if prediction markets just... replaced shopping altogether?
Picture this: I'm craving kiwis. Instead of opening some delivery app, I spin up a prediction market—"Will someone drop 4 kiwis at my door?" I load $15 into the "no" side. That's my bet against it happening.
Some guy cruising by on an e-bike spots the market. He's thinking, "Easy money." Swings by a fruit stand, grabs the kiwis, pedals over. Right before he rings my doorbell, he buys out the "yes" side. Market resolves. He pockets the spread. I get my kiwis.
No middleman. No platform fee eating into margins. Just pure game theory making stuff move. The incentive structure does all the work—someone always wants to prove you wrong when there's money on the table. It's Uber without Uber. DoorDash without the dash of corporate rent-seeking.
Prediction markets aren't just for elections anymore. They're infrastructure. They're how we might coordinate literally anything when the stakes are clear and the oracle's honest. Wild how a simple betting mechanism could rewire commerce from the ground up.