2025-12-06 10:50:34

#美联储重启降息步伐 The Fed’s Beige Book has just been released, and it’s overwhelmingly dovish! Although the language still carries that official tone, the signals are clear enough—economic slowdown, weak consumer spending, most of the 12 districts reporting flat or even declining economic activity, inflation pressures easing, and downside risks are building up.

The market has the sharpest instincts. After the Beige Book release, expectations for a December rate cut shot straight up to 87%, practically a done deal! Wall Street giants like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have all turned around, betting on a rate cut. Even the stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll numbers couldn’t reverse market sentiment, showing just how strong the easing expectations are.

Jokingly, if Powell keeps dragging his feet, even Trump might start to get restless! After all, the current economic data and market sentiment are all pointing in the same direction—it’s time to ease.

The crypto market has already started to react in advance, with the recent rebound clearly tied to these easing expectations. Now all eyes are on the December FOMC meeting to see if the market’s hopes will be realized—the decisive moment is just around the corner!

$BTC

BTC0.69%

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PessimisticOracle

· 5h ago

An 87% probability, this is basically a done deal, just waiting for the official announcement in December. Powell played this move well, the market is hyped, and BTC is taking off with it. Consumer spending is really weak, no wonder everyone’s waiting for this—only easing can revive things. Let’s be direct: this current rebound before the rate cut is just an appetizer, there’s more to come. Even Trump wants to push for it, haha, this situation is really interesting.

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BearMarketBuyer

· 5h ago

87% of the rate cut expectations are already locked in, so what is Powell still hesitating about? Just announce it already. If they don’t cut rates and actually raise them instead, that would be a real joke. For this round, whether BTC can turn things around really depends on the Fed’s next move. But wait, could this all just be another fake-out... Wall Street folks are the best at bluffing. We’ll know for sure in December—just don’t cry wolf again when the time comes.

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SchroedingersFrontrun

· 5h ago

They’re willing to trust an 87% probability? These Wall Street guys really love to gamble. If Powell doesn’t take action soon, he’s going to get criticized—markets have already made their expectations this clear. With such strong easing expectations, how could BTC not rebound? But be careful not to chase the rally. Once the Beige Book is out, a rate cut is like a spring loaded and ready to pop. The economy is slowing and consumption is weakening—finally, it’s time for the doves to speak up. December is a key hurdle; whether expectations are met depends on this time. Trump is pushing hard from behind, and Powell is under a lot of pressure.

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GasFeeBarbecue

· 5h ago

87% probability... This time Powell is really making a move, the market's instincts were right after all --- Easing is coming, the crypto market is about to take off, those who got in early should be waking up with a smile --- Weak consumption makes it clear, rate cuts can't be stopped, just wait for the final decision in December --- Even nonfarm payrolls can't hold up, it seems the trend has really changed, this BTC rebound is just getting started --- If Powell keeps stalling, Trump is really going to yell him awake, haha --- Even the Beige Book is so dovish, what is there to hesitate about, just give me the cut --- Wall Street has already turned, it's time to follow the trend --- The economic data speaks for itself, this time a rate cut is inevitable, the question isn't "if" but "when"

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TokenTherapist

· 5h ago

87% expectation, the market is truly convinced this time... It would be hard for Powell not to cut rates. ---- This Bitcoin rebound is indeed linked to easing, but can it really materialize in December? Feels like there’s still some uncertainty. ---- Wall Street has shifted, but retail investors should still be cautious about following the trend—institutions often profit in the opposite direction. ---- Economic slowdown + cooling inflation, this logic chain does make sense. No wonder crypto is so exuberant right now. ---- Powell is really in a tough spot—pressure from Trump on one side and the market on the other, both pushing for rate cuts. Interesting. ---- The Beige Book signals are so dovish; could December really be the last chance for a rate cut? Gotta seize it. ---- Weak consumer spending is a fact, but for the crypto space, this is actually bullish—liquidity tends to overflow in a loose environment. ---- Feels like the market is already fully priced in. If Powell turns hawkish in December, crypto prices may pull back. ---- 87% looks like a high number, but when market expectations are too high, that’s often when risk is greatest.

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