#ETH走势分析 After years of navigating the crypto market, I’ve discovered a harsh truth: the ones who survive here are never the exceptionally gifted geniuses, but rather ordinary people who understand self-restraint.



You might not believe it, but among the friends I’ve seen fall, nine out of ten perished because they were “too smart”—always trying to catch every swing, time every high and low. The result? Their accounts are more thrilling than a roller coaster.

**Leverage is a sugar-coated bomb**

Ever seen what you look like staring at charts at 3 AM? That’s a contract trader’s norm. When you open 10x leverage, you feel like you control the market; the moment you get liquidated, you realize you’re just cannon fodder in a game of probabilities.

Leverage doesn’t amplify your principal—it amplifies your inner demons. When you’re greedy, it makes you swell with confidence; when you panic, it grinds you into the dirt. Data from a leading exchange shows that over 70% of contract users end up leaving the market with losses.

**Survival rules for spot players**

What’s good about spot trading? It gives you room to make mistakes. Accumulate $BTC and $ETH in batches at bear market bottoms, and when the bull market comes, your holdings naturally rise. Sounds simple? The hard part is that most people can’t do two things:

Dare to build positions during panic, and dare to cash out during mania.

What’s the dumbest move I’ve seen? Selling at a loss when stuck, chasing the pump when prices rise, then getting stuck again. Once this cycle starts, it’s like a bottomless pit. The way to break it is actually straightforward: sell a bit every 20% up, strictly cut losses every 10% down. Discipline is easy to say, brutal to do.

**Pros win by “not taking action”**

90% of the time, the market is just wearing you down; real golden opportunities only come a few times a year. If you stare at charts and trade constantly, you end up exhausted—and lose even more.

The truly skilled know how to wait. Wait for a breakout with volume, wait for stability after panic selling, wait for those opportunities so certain that it’d be a shame to miss them. Once you master restraint, profits come almost as a side effect.

**Three ironclad rules that hit hard**

- Don’t gamble tomorrow with your living expenses; protecting your principal always comes first
- Only act when the trend is clear—leave bottom-fishing heroics to others
- Withdraw your principal after making money; play with your profits, but keep your principal safe

This market never lacks get-rich-quick stories—it lacks people who survive to see the next bull run. Give up illusions, stick to your bottom line, and time will give you the answer.
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airdrop_whisperervip
· 12-07 10:29
A 70% liquidation rate is insane. I know a few guys who used 10x leverage, but now they've all switched to spot trading, haha. --- So true, it's always those who stare at the charts every day that end up losing the worst—I used to be like that too. --- Self-discipline is way more valuable than intelligence, that line really hit home for me. --- Waiting sounds easy but is actually torture to do. I'm still practicing it myself. --- I totally agree with prioritizing capital safety. So many people lose out just because of greed.
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rugged_againvip
· 12-06 11:23
That night with 10x leverage, I also thought I was the chosen one, but by 3 a.m. I’d already seen hell, haha. --- So true. The people who’ve survived until now are definitely the ones quietly making money. The ones always bragging about how good they are disappeared long ago. --- As a spot trader, I just win lying down, that’s it. Leverage really is poison, I don’t touch it. --- Everybody can talk about restraint, but nobody can actually do it. That’s the most painful part. --- I believe the 70% loss statistic—I’m in that 70%. Uh, actually, I might even be in the negatives. --- Wait, wait, wait, after hearing “wait” for so long, I ended up missing all the gains. Now I feel like I’ve been way too honest. --- Capital preservation is the most brutal rule. So many people have been completely knocked out just because they didn’t stick to it. --- I know the cut-loss and chase-high death cycle too well. Every time I swear I won’t do it again, and then I fall into the trap next time anyway. --- Are the people really making money all anonymous? All the experts I’ve seen just vent, no one actually shares anything real.
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MetaLord420vip
· 12-05 19:37
Damn, that's why all those contract guys around me are gone. --- The moment you get liquidated with 10x leverage is really embarrassing, not even joking. --- Just hold your spot positions, don't exhaust yourself by trading frequently every day. --- Saying "self-control" is easy, but very few can actually do it. --- A 70% loss is way too real, almost everyone around me is in that range. --- Let others be the heroes catching the bottom, haha. I'll just wait patiently for my chance. --- Never touch your living expenses, that's the most profound lesson I learned after getting burned. --- There are only a few real opportunities in a year, being greedy will just make you lose more. --- Discipline is more important than anything, but unfortunately most people only realize this after they've gone bankrupt. --- Always secure your principal first when you make money, this golden rule has saved me many times.
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ForkTroopervip
· 12-05 11:09
Nine out of ten friends got liquidated, and the last one is probably still glued to the screen dreaming. --- Leverage is really something else. I was aiming for a 5,000x profit, but ended up wiping my account to zero. The more I think about it, the angrier I get. --- Spot holders stack ETH and sleep soundly, while contract traders are still going crazy at 3 a.m. The difference is just that big. --- You're absolutely right. I'm exactly the fool who cuts losses when trapped and chases highs when prices rise—it's been a vicious cycle for a whole year. --- Damn, the stat about 70% leaving the market with losses really stings. Am I one of that 70% too? --- Self-control is worth more than talent. If only I'd heard this earlier, I wouldn't be in such a mess. --- Withdrawing your principal as soon as you make a profit is genius. Finally, someone said it. --- I can't stand staring at charts all day. I'll just stick to spot and win while lying down.
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¯\_(ツ)_/¯vip
· 12-05 11:09
Honestly, I have way more friends around me who got liquidated than those who made money. Leverage is just a trap. 10x leverage feels good for five minutes, but you'll regret it for five years. Looking at my trading history, the period when I traded frequently was when I lost the most. Now I just hodl $ETH and don't touch it. So true. Self-control is a hundred times harder than being smart. Spot is steady, contracts are gambling—I choose to stay alive. This really hits home, as I'm still staring at the charts at 3 AM. Protecting your principal is making money. Many people get this order wrong.
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RooftopVIPvip
· 12-05 11:08
Honestly, I knew all those people at 3 a.m., and now they're all gone. That 70% loss statistic made me laugh, I think it needs to be even higher. When it comes down to it, restraint is all about survival—only by surviving do you get to see the next wave. Itchy hands are a chronic condition, the kind you just can't change. "Principal safety" really hits hard, I should get it tattooed.
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TokenSherpavip
· 12-05 11:08
actually, let me break this down—the governance precedent here is fascinating if you examine the data on leverage blow-ups historically speaking. empirical evidence suggests that 70% figure aligns perfectly with voting patterns we've seen across major protocols when analyzing liquidation mechanics through a tokenomics framework lens.
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SatoshiChallengervip
· 12-05 11:06
Data shows that among the 70% who got liquidated, nine out of ten think they're geniuses [sneer].
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BoredWatchervip
· 12-05 11:05
So true, it's the same around me—there are way more people getting liquidated in contracts than making steady money with spot trading. Spot trading is the real deal, leverage is really just a tool to cut down retail investors. That 70% loss statistic is scary, but no one thinks they'll be part of that 70%. Frequent trading is really exhausting—it's better to just hold onto BTC and sleep soundly. I've engraved these three golden rules; putting principal safety first is absolutely right. I've seen so many people watching the market at 3 a.m.—almost none of them are still around now. Self-control is really more valuable than talent, that hits hard.
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