#美联储重启降息步伐 Major Alert! At 23:00 tonight, a barrage of US economic data is coming, with the Core PCE Price Index about to be released. This inflation indicator, seen as a key vulnerability by the Fed, will surely stir up the crypto market once announced.

Why does this data set have the power to shake up the entire crypto space? The Core PCE is the Fed’s primary reference for adjusting monetary policy. If the data comes in higher than expected, it signals that inflation remains stubborn, making it likely the Fed will continue its tightening path—this means the US Dollar Index will rise, capital will flow back to traditional markets, and crypto prices will face selling pressure. But if the data is stable or even lower? Then crypto assets are likely to rebound, with funds flowing back into digital currencies as risk aversion eases.

At such a crucial moment, a few operational principles must be kept in mind: Before the data is released, controlling your position size is a must—don’t get tempted to add leverage. High leverage during extreme market volatility is a meat grinder. After the data drops, don’t rush to go all in. First, observe how crypto prices actually react to the data—if the data is bearish but prices don’t fall and instead rise, it’s likely just short-term FOMO, and chasing the pump could leave you holding the bag; on the other hand, if the data is positive and crypto prices rise in tandem, you can follow moderately, but remember to take profits and don’t expect to catch the whole move.

Based on current market expectations, there’s not much difference between the previous and forecast values for this PCE release, indicating most institutions have already priced it in, so the likelihood of a massive move isn’t high. However, what the crypto market fears most are black swans—staying calm is the key to survival.

Looking at the longer term, crypto market fundamentals remain healthy, and these kinds of macro data are just short-term noise. Stay rational tonight, don’t let emotions lead you by the nose, and steady progress is the way to win in the end. The market will always be there—protecting your wallet is the real skill.