XRP Technical Outlook: Price Holds Support but Downtrend Still Dominant

XRP continues to trade inside a clear descending channel, repeatedly rejecting from the upper trendline and forming lower highs since August. The recent move shows a small bounce from the $1.82–$1.90 support zone, where buyers stepped in to defend the lower boundary of the channel.

Despite this short-term relief, XRP remains below all major EMAs —
20 EMA ($2.174), 50 EMA ($2.314), 100 EMA ($2.467), and 200 EMA ($2.495) — which are stacked above price and acting as strong dynamic resistance. This continues to confirm bearish control of the market.

XRP did reclaim the local demand zone highlighted on the chart, but the key test lies at the 0.236 Fib ($2.254) level. A daily close above this zone is essential for any early signs of stabilization.

Beyond that, the next major hurdle is the $2.52 (0.382 Fib) level. A break above the descending channel’s upper trendline, together with a reclaim of the $2.74 (0.5 Fib) and $2.95 (0.618 Fib) zones, would be needed to confirm a true trend reversal.

On the downside, failure to hold the current support could push XRP back toward the $1.82 low, where the bottom of the channel aligns. A breakdown below this level would expose deeper downside risk and extend the bearish structure into 2026.

The RSI at 43.92 shows mild recovery but still reflects weak momentum — not enough to signal a strong bullish reversal yet.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance:

$2.254 (0.236 Fib)

$2.523 (0.382 Fib)

$2.741 (0.5 Fib)

$2.958 (0.618 Fib)

$3.267 (0.786 Fib)

Support:

$2.00–$1.90 local support

$1.82 (major channel support / swing low)

RSI:

43.92 — weak but improving momentum.

📌 Summary

XRP is holding key support inside a descending channel, but the trend remains firmly bearish below the $2.25–$2.52 resistance zone. A meaningful bullish recovery will only begin if XRP breaks above the channel and reclaims the $2.74–$2.95 Fibonacci levels. Meanwhile, losing support near $1.82 would reopen deeper downside targets.

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