BlockBeats News, February 2nd, Analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated, “The Bitcoin Futures Fund Flow Index combines price dynamics with derivatives fund flows (order book volume + open interest changes).”
Since last Friday, the fund flow index has plummeted from around 50 to a critical 7.1%, hitting the lower limit of this index scale, which is also the extreme value in the past month. The ongoing price trend marked since January 28 confirms a persistent bear market. The key point is: since January 30, the index has fallen below the 45% threshold, which, according to the model, indicates entering the bear market boundary.
Historically, a reading of 7.1% usually corresponds to a market surrender zone. To achieve a state transition, the index needs to rebound above 45% and prices must stabilize. Until then, any rebound remains technically within a bear market correction.
Another index—the “Bitcoin Partial Pressure Index”—integrates volatility, funding rates, and leverage levels to form a comprehensive pressure indicator. On the evening of January 31 (Friday), during the sell-off below $78,000, this index soared to a peak of 92.5. Throughout the weekend, the index remained in a “tail risk alert” state—indicating all pressure valves (downward trend + rising volatility + biased fund flows) were simultaneously activated. The current reading of 73 still falls within the “high” zone.
Historically, when this index exceeds 90, it often coincides with local price bottoms. If under renewed pressure, the LSI surpasses 80 again, it would signal the continuation of a waterfall decline.
Both indicators together paint a picture: the fund flow index is at an extreme low, while the partial pressure index is at a peak. This precisely characterizes a market “surrender”—when pressure reaches its limit, the market begins to absorb liquidity shocks.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
BlackRock IBIT Adds 3,355 BTC in $256M Institutional Inflow on April 20
IBIT led Bitcoin ETF inflows with $256M (≈3,355 BTC) on Apr 20, pushing total spot-ETF inflows near $58B and assets over $100B, underscoring rising institutional demand and access via regulated ETFs.
Abstract: This report notes that BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) attracted $256 million in net inflows on April 20, about 3,355 BTC, signaling robust institutional interest in Bitcoin spot ETFs. IBIT dominated daily flows, with Bitcoin ETF inflows totaling over $238 million for the day and cumulative spot ETF inflows approaching $58 billion; overall spot Bitcoin ETF assets exceed $100 billion, representing more than 6% of Bitcoin's market cap. The trend suggests growing institutional confidence in Bitcoin as a long-term asset, aided by regulated access and simplified custody; IBIT remains the leading issuer, though Fidelity and ARK Invest are also attracting capital.
GateNews35m ago
Scammers Pose as Iranian Authorities to Extort Stranded Shipowners in Bitcoin and Tether
Gate News message, April 21 — Unknown actors sent fraudulent messages to shipping companies with vessels stranded west of the Strait of Hormuz, claiming to be Iranian authorities and offering safe passage in exchange for fees paid in Bitcoin or Tether, according to Greek risk firm MARISKS. The messa
GateNews1h ago
MicroStrategy’s BTC holdings are nearing Satoshi Nakamoto! Can it become the world’s biggest holder in as fast as nine months?
MicroStrategy recently spent $2.5 billion to buy an additional 34,164 bitcoins. Its total holdings have surpassed 815k BTC, nearing Satoshi Nakamoto’s known amount. Analysts project that if it continues this pace of accumulation, MicroStrategy could become the world’s largest bitcoin holder within 9 to 14 months.
ChainNewsAbmedia2h ago
U.S. Crypto Adoption Rebounds to 12% in March as Bitcoin ETF Inflows Hit $1.32B
U.S. crypto adoption rose to 12% in March after hitting 7% in February, driven by positive Bitcoin ETF inflows. Despite recovery, sentiment is fragile, with many expecting lower Bitcoin prices in 2026, and adoption trends remain skewed towards men and higher-income groups.
GateNews2h ago
Tether Acquires 8.2% Stake in Antalpha, Gaining Exposure to Bitcoin Lending Platform
Tether-affiliated entities invested $25 million in Antalpha, acquiring 8.2% ownership at the IPO price of $12.80 per share. Antalpha, a fintech platform for Bitcoin mining, reported strong financials, but shares fell over 27% post-disclosure.
GateNews3h ago
