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Gate Research Daily Report: After a round of heavy selling, Bitcoin fell by around 20% over a two-week period. Ethereum has broken below USD 2,400, with the market structure turning bearish. Tweets related to C98 triggered retail FOMO, pushing the token up 37.03%, while PURR broke above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and gained 28.37%. JPMorgan expects Warsh to accommodate Trump’s push for rate cuts in the short term before reverting to a more hawkish stance after the midterm elections; retail pessimism has entered extreme territory, raising the possibility of a technical rebound; and Cboe plans to relaunch binary options trading to compete directly with prediction markets.

This report examines the expansion path of prediction markets from crypto-native origins to mainstream distribution, using the compliant platform Kalshi and its brokerage distribution model as a case study. It highlights that regulatory licensing and distribution access are becoming the core variables determining scale: once event options are embedded into brokerage account systems, trading barriers are significantly reduced, and platform growth becomes closely tied to channel efficiency.

Gate Research: On Feb 2, crypto markets pulled back amid a broad sell-off in stocks and gold/silver, as risk appetite continued to deteriorate. BTC traced a “sharp drop → capitulation wick → weak rebound → low-range consolidation” pattern; ETH underperformed sharply with $2,200 as the key near-term line; and GT entered a relief-rebound phase but remains capped by its MA30. In pockets of strength, POKT surged on deflationary tokenomics upgrades and partnership catalysts, Limitless (LMTS)rallied on buybacks/burns and a volume milestone, and AVAAI (AVA) gained on AI-agent narrative and ecosystem expectations. On the news front, prediction markets posted a record $12B+ in January volume; Moltbook sparked an AI-agents social wave that spilled into Clanker on Base via booming token launches and trading activity. Meanwhile, the meme sector slid further, with meme KOL Murad reportedly down about $58M over the past six months, reigniting risk discussions.On Feb 2, crypto markets pulled back amid a broad sell-off in st

Gate Research Daily Report: On Feb 2, crypto markets broadly fell as pullbacks in stocks and gold/silver weighed on risk appetite, with the Fear & Greed Index dropping to 14—its lowest level this year. BTC is consolidating near the lows after a capitulation wick, with $75K as key support and $80K as major resistance; ETH underperformed, with $2,200 as the critical line—if it breaks, downside targets shift to $2,150 and $2,000. Despite the weak tape, POKT, LMTS, and AVA outperformed on their respective catalysts. Key narratives included prediction markets posting a record $12B+ in January volume, the AI-agent narrative spilling into Clanker and boosting token launches/trading activity, and renewed risk debate in the meme sector after Murad’s reported ~$58M six-month drawdown.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 30, the crypto market came under broad pressure, with Bitcoin falling below $82,000 and briefly dipping to around $81,000, while Ether retreated to the $2,700 level and remained technically weak. GT declined in tandem but showed relatively resilient downside, consolidating around the $9.20–$9.30 support zone. Despite weakness in major assets, selective capital rotation persisted, with small-cap tokens such as SENT and GWEI posting strong gains driven by AI and Ethereum infrastructure narratives. Meanwhile, a tech-led selloff fueled a cross-market risk-off move, alongside notable industry developments including Bit Digital’s exit from Bitcoin mining and the revival of The DAO with a $220 million Ethereum security fund.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 30, the crypto market came under broad pressure, with Bitcoin falling below $82,000 and briefly dipping to around $81,000, while Ether retreated to the $2,700 level and remained technically weak. GT declined in tandem but showed relatively resilient downside, consolidating around the $9.20–$9.30 support zone. Despite weakness in major assets, selective capital rotation persisted, with small-cap tokens such as SENT and GWEI posting strong gains driven by AI and Ethereum infrastructure narratives. Meanwhile, a tech-led selloff fueled a cross-market risk-off move, alongside notable industry developments including Bit Digital’s exit from Bitcoin mining and the revival of The DAO with a $220 million Ethereum security fund.

Gate Research:From January 13 to January 26, 2026, the crypto market remained broadly weak amid macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty. Major assets traded lower in a defensive, range-bound structure, while market-cap performance showed clear divergence: the top 400 tokens posted mild pullbacks, whereas lower-cap segments outperformed. High-beta names such as PENGUIN and RIVER rallied sharply, while several previously overheated speculative assets saw steep corrections. Volume–price dynamics were also uneven—only a handful of tokens showed strong volume-price confirmation, while most remained in low-volume, weak-trend conditions. This suggests capital is still rotating tactically rather than positioning for a full trend reversal, though selective opportunities persist. Meanwhile, sectors such as NFT platform incentives, decentralized node networks, social task-based point systems, and prediction market ecosystems have begun rolling out airdrop-style campaigns. This report outlines the core participation p

Gate Options Daily Market Update.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH are consolidating after a pullback from recent highs; positioning has turned defensive, with flows rotating into steadier altcoin themes such as tokenized commodities/gold, payments, privacy, and DID. Ethereum continues to dominate tokenized commodity issuance with an 85% share. Long-term holders have accelerated distribution, marking Bitcoin’s strongest sell pressure since August. Prediction market volume hit a new all-time high, increasingly acting as an on-chain “expectations pricing layer.” Polymarket is driving a surge in USDC usage, and Mizuho upgraded Circle’s rating while highlighting its growth optionality. SUI is set to unlock roughly $60.94 million worth of tokens over the next 7 days, representing 11% of circulating supply.

On January 28, the crypto market saw a brief relief rebound, with broad-based gains and capital rotating back into core assets and large-cap majors. On the thematic side, mid- and small-cap tokens such as PIPPIN, BNKR, and XRD rallied strongly on agent narratives and expectations around product/tooling updates, with flows clearly concentrating into higher-beta names. Meanwhile, Tether launched its USAT dollar stablecoin as part of a two-track approach combining regulatory segmentation and distribution expansion; Kite released a mainnet roadmap centered on agent-native trust and pay-per-call payments; and Polygon continued to lead x402 agentic payment transactions, while Base activity has weakened for eight consecutive days.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 28, the crypto market saw a brief relief rebound, with broad-based gains and capital rotating back into core assets and large-cap majors. On the thematic side, mid- and small-cap tokens such as PIPPIN, BNKR, and XRD rallied strongly on agent narratives and expectations around product/tooling updates, with flows clearly concentrating into higher-beta names. Meanwhile, Tether launched its USAT dollar stablecoin as part of a two-track approach combining regulatory segmentation and distribution expansion; Kite released a mainnet roadmap centered on agent-native trust and pay-per-call payments; and Polygon continued to lead x402 agentic payment transactions, while Base activity has weakened for eight consecutive days.

2025 marks a paradigm shift in the crypto market from "macro-sentiment" to "compliance and microstructure" drivers. Despite global rate cuts, the linear logic of "Rate Cuts = Bull Market" failed, giving way to profound structural differentiation. BTC exhibited high correlation with tech stocks, while RWAs and Stablecoins surged as new liquidity reservoirs. As pricing power shifts from VCs to the secondary market and on-chain derivatives reshape trading, this report analyzes the 2025 liquidity landscape and forecasts a 2026 "Structure-Driven" cycle dominated by institutional pricing.

Gate TradFi is a one-stop macro multi-asset trading gateway launched by Gate, covering CFDs on precious metals, forex, indices, commodities, and popular U.S. stocks. These products allow users to trade on price movements rather than owning the underlying assets. The system uses USDx as the in-account display unit, pegged 1:1 to USDT, enabling users to participate in TradFi trading within the familiar USDT framework without currency conversion. Built on MT5, Gate TradFi enables synchronization between the Gate App and MT5 accounts and trade records. It also provides transparent rules on spreads, commissions, overnight fees, and liquidation mechanisms, helping traders perform multi-market rotation and hedging within a single account.

Last week, BTC showed a weak consolidation pattern after a failed rebound on the 4-hour chart. The market saw a volume-driven decline followed by a low-volume rebound, indicating that the current bounce is more of a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. ETH's price action mirrors BTC's, but it is noticeably weaker. The structure remains a weak rebound within a bearish trend. On-chain capital flows are showing clear signs of defensive rebalancing. Ethereum net inflows have approached $350 million. Hyperliquid and StarkNet saw net outflows of over $200 million and $167 million, respectively. In the prediction market, industry competition is being reshaped by a "points + zero-fee" strategy.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin remains in a controlled pullback for now, but its overall price structure is showing clear signs of fatigue. Ethereum is hovering around USD 2,900, while downside risks still warrant close attention. ACU surged more than 34%, driven by expanded market access. Axie Infinity’s launch of bAXS pushed AXS up by over 32%. Zerohash is in talks to raise around USD 250 million, with a potential valuation of USD 1.5 billion. Goldman Sachs expects the January FOMC meeting to be largely uneventful, with the first rate cut of the year likely starting in June. VanEck’s first AVAX spot ETF has been listed on Nasdaq.