Today is already Thursday, good morning everyone



From the overall market trend, yesterday's movement was within the 73,000-76,000 range, with the daily chart mainly continuing a volatile pattern, and most other altcoins showing similar trends. Crypto ETF institutions had a net outflow of about $56 million yesterday, with low trading volume indicating cautious sentiment. This suggests that institutions are mainly waiting and watching in the short term. Currently, the liquidation map shows BTC, ETH, and SOL are all dominated by bulls with moderate density, so further attention to US-Iran developments is needed.

According to the latest news, the Lebanon ceasefire negotiations are linked to the US-Iran ceasefire. If a consensus is reached, it will be favorable for the second round of US-Iran negotiations; otherwise, it will add complexity and pressure. The timing for the second round of negotiations is still being finalized, and the market is waiting to see when the US and Iran will start. Personally, I think for the US and Iran to initiate the second round, Lebanon negotiations need to reach an agreement first. The higher possibility now is to extend the US-Iran ceasefire, with the specific situation depending on upcoming news.

In the short term, the main trend of the market will continue to be volatile, with fluctuations increasing only when US-Iran negotiations move. For trading, a conservative short-term approach is recommended. The weekly chart shows a W-shaped pattern, with key focus on whether the market can hold around 76,000. Once stabilized and broken through, the target could be 78,000-80,000. Whether it can break through depends heavily on US-Iran news.

Today, the short-term fluctuation range of the market remains at 73,000-76,000, ETH's short-term range is 2,300-2,420, and SOL's is 82-86.

Short-term contract strategies:
BTC: 74,000 or buy on dips, take profit at 75,500

ETH: 2,300 or buy on dips, take profit at 2,380

SOL: 83 or buy on dips, take profit at 86

Warm tips:
1. Stop-loss suggestions should be set based on your actual liquidation price and your risk tolerance.
2. Do not be greedy; take profits when possible. Better to realize small losses than hold against the trend. If the direction is correct, continue holding.
$BTC $ETH $SOL ‌ ‌ ‌
BTC0,62%
ETH0,68%
SOL2,26%
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ProtocolPicnic
· 4h ago
ETH range 2300-2420 is recognized; recently, altcoins are also following BTC as a shadow, with no independent market trend.
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MorningLightInAGlassBottle
· 7h ago
The liquidation chart shows multiple heads leading but not densely packed = not too easy to cause sharp surges or crashes? Still need to watch out for sudden breaking news.
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OracleBabysitter
· 8h ago
Your approach is all about "surviving first"; during volatile periods, not being greedy is the key.
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AmberTeaSwirl
· 8h ago
I prefer to start with a small position first, and only add once it stabilizes above 76,000; otherwise, adding within the range is too uncomfortable.
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GateUser-e6dafce6
· 8h ago
If negotiations with Lebanon break down, the pressure on US-Iran talks will increase, which might instead give the market an excuse to drop? Be cautious.
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ProtocolPaladin
· 8h ago
SOL 82-86 this range is too narrow; contracts that don't monitor the market easily get swept back and forth.
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HotspotChaser
· 8h ago
“Take profit and put it in your pocket” really hits—lately, a lot of people made money, didn’t cash out, and then vomited it all back.
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GateUser-e84f640c
· 8h ago
Thanks for the range hint. Today, we'll treat 73,000-76,000 as the box, and follow along if it breaks.
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FragmentedSilverStarMap
· 8h ago
Right now, the market is really just waiting for the specific date of the second round of talks between the U.S. and Iran; once announced, the volatility is expected to immediately increase.
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