IMF: Emerging markets should beware of non-bank capital flow volatility risks

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released Chapter 2 of the “Global Financial Stability Report” ahead of schedule on the 7th.
This chapter emphasizes that although non-bank financial investment institutions can provide substantial funding to emerging market economies, these institutions are highly sensitive to global risks, with capital volatility significantly higher than that of traditional banking institutions, posing challenges to emerging market economies.
Chapter 2 of the “Global Financial Stability Report” typically focuses on structural issues or frontier financial risks in specific areas and is usually published before the full report.
The IMF is scheduled to officially release the latest edition of the “Global Financial Stability Report” on the 14th.
The chapter released on that day focuses on the risks brought by non-bank financial investment institutions.
The IMF states in this chapter that in recent years, emerging market economies have tended to seek external funds through non-bank channels, but this trend also introduces new financial risks.
Especially during global shocks, non-bank institutions experience greater capital volatility, and changes in their investment directions can increase the vulnerability of emerging market economies.
Data shows that since the 2008 international financial crisis, investments flowing into emerging markets have increased eightfold, totaling about $4 trillion, with 80% of the funds provided by non-bank institutions such as investment funds, hedge funds, pension funds, and insurance companies.
The reason for this situation is partly due to post-crisis global regulatory reforms that limited the risk-taking scope of banks, prompting many borrowers to turn to non-bank institutions for financing.
The IMF is concerned that non-bank institutions are extremely sensitive to changes in global risks and are prone to sudden capital withdrawals when external conditions shift.
This could quickly intensify external financing pressures on emerging market economies, increase borrowing costs, trigger currency devaluation, and thereby hinder economic growth.
(Xinhua News Agency)

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