Pre-market strategy for the 3rd of the month

StrawberryIce · 2026-03-04T01:01:11+00:00

The article analyzes the current stock market breakout strategies, focusing on the performance of the oil, gas, and shipping sectors. It recommends investors pay attention to the rotation and rebound of strong stocks, especially China Merchants South Oil and COSCO Shipping Energy. At the same time, it points out some sentiment observation targets and high-risk, high-reward elastic stocks, emphasizing the risks of shrinking volume boards and rear-position boards. Finally, it advises investors to exercise caution when market sentiment is fragile.

StrawberryIce

2026-03-04 01:01:11

Abstract generation in progress

Core Board-Picking Targets Pool (Divided by Tiers)

Core Turnover Candidates (Second to Third Tier) — Focused Attention

Yesterday, the oil and gas + shipping sectors had 28 second-tier boards, but today, it’s expected that more than two-thirds will be eliminated. Only the truly strong can make it through. This is the main battlefield for today’s board hits, but only after full turnover and re-closure.

· China Merchants South Oil (601975): One of the Big Three in oil transportation, with a high closing order of 558 million yuan yesterday, accounting for 2.4% of the circulating market value. Main funds net inflow of 240 million yuan, one of the strongest closing orders in the market. Indicates strong long-term lock-in intentions by large funds.
· Board-hitting condition: Must be a T-shaped rebound today. Starting with a one-word limit-up, then opening with a gap due to market divergence, with turnover rate ideally around 5%-8%, followed by a strong re-closure. If this pattern forms, it’s a standard “air refueling,” confirming the board hit.

· COSCO Shipping Energy (600026): The central force in oil transportation, with the strongest logic, and JPMorgan Chase significantly raised its target price to 28 yuan.
· Board-hitting condition: Yesterday’s volume was reduced; today must have increased volume for turnover. If during trading, it receives strong support, consolidates around 7%-8% gains with turnover, then a large order sweeps to close the limit-up, this can be a valid board hit.

Sentiment Observation Targets (Third Tier) — Watch Only, No Action

· Shui Fa Gas (603318): Leader in natural gas, with a closing order of 237 million yuan yesterday. Today, a one-word limit-up opening is expected.
· Strategy: If it doesn’t open the limit, it indicates sector sentiment remains stable; if it opens the limit, the sector could experience turbulence. Today, it’s not a target for board hitting but a sentiment thermometer. If it opens due to divergence during trading, participation should wait until full turnover (e.g., over 20%) and re-closure. Such risk is high; ordinary traders should just observe.

· Heshun Petroleum (603353): Despite a third-tier board yesterday, it repeatedly opened limit-up during trading, with net main fund outflows of 160 million yuan. Indicates significant internal disagreement, and the company’s cross-border chip acquisitions, with core business not pure and involving losses.
· Strategy: For stocks with such divergence turning into consensus, if it can weakly turn strong with a high open and high walk, it’s a selling point, not a buying point. Not recommended to hit the board; the chip structure is already chaotic.

Elastic Targets (Growth Enterprise Market / Beijing Stock Exchange) — High Risk, High Return

· Keli Co., Ltd. (Beijing Stock Exchange): Yesterday’s 30cm 2 consecutive boards. Stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange are highly elastic; if it can achieve a turnover of 3 boards, it will strongly influence overall sector sentiment.
· Board-hitting condition: Must be under the overall strong oil and gas sector, with strong intraday performance, no high-level plunge, and re-closure after over 20% gains with turnover. This requires very high risk tolerance, suitable for the most aggressive traders.

Large Funds Battlefield (Central Force) — No Board Hit, Low Buy-in

· China National Petroleum (601857): Yesterday’s 2-board, rare in history. With a market cap of 2 trillion yuan, continuous limit-ups are unlikely; today’s likely to be a shakeout.
· Strategy: Not a target for hitting the board but can serve as a “sector safety cushion.” As long as it doesn’t fall sharply (e.g., more than 3%), the success rate of sector leaders hitting the board will improve.

Core Tips for Board Hitting Today

No volume-reduction boards: On a day with divergence like today, any small-volume limit-up (especially with a high open of 7%-8% or more) is likely a trap. The real buying opportunity is after the “break and re-closure,” which is when funds reach consensus.
No back-row boards: Focus only on the core targets listed above, especially the front-line second to third tier. Follower stocks or marginal sector stocks, even if they hit the limit, won’t have premium tomorrow and are not worth risking.
Time positioning: Wait at least half an hour to an hour after opening, allowing divergence to fully release. The first to re-closure is often the next sector leader.

Today’s market sentiment remains fragile. If there’s a mass “core button” opening or the “Three Big Oil” stocks open sharply lower, pause all board-hitting operations. Hold back, wait for the close or early tomorrow morning. Also, watch out for the negative impact of Zhun Oil’s ST news on sector sentiment.

Alright, brothers, the gun is loaded, the target is locked. Today is a test of our eyesight and speed. Wishing everyone success in catching the true dragon!

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