2026-03-02 04:28:14

A few weeks ago, it was already said that Iran's attitude was firm. If negotiations collapse, at worst Trump might take military action. Surprisingly, it actually happened. As expected, the market has already speculated on the war, and based on the short-term plunge and the magnitude of the drop, the negative news can be considered absorbed.

The market is more sensitive than the actual situation, meaning it buys the anticipation and sells the reality. A few weeks ago, the market had already anticipated a possible breakdown in talks, which triggered a significant correction. The sudden attack by Israel on Iran and the resulting plunge also confirmed this prediction, indicating that the rebound structure was not completely destroyed.

For long-term strategies, still consider shorting Ethereum at 2400 and buying the dip at 1500.
Based on market conditions, strategies can be optimized: if you're not afraid of being caught in a position, you can try to go long below 1900, with an ideal entry around 1800. Holding spot positions at 1x leverage, there is still potential for doubling gains in the next round, so don't be afraid of being caught. But for now, avoid trying to short.

ETH-1.96%

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100UsdBravelyVentureIntoThe

2026-02-22 14:26:32

If I say I have a bit of compulsive order placement OCD and don't want to participate in the strategy of dollar-cost averaging into Ethereum below 1900, just to catch the bottom with full position.
In an extreme scenario, it means relying on Trump to negotiate with Iran and have the talks break down. Iran's stance is still relatively tough. If Trump launches a strike, gold will rise briefly, and Ethereum could be hit again with a 10% decline. Moreover, Trump wouldn't want to wipe out the other side; it's just to accumulate more bargaining chips, and ultimately, negotiations will resume.
But I think that's too difficult and overly idealistic. My current average price for Ethereum is still 1973. As long as it doesn't fall below 1750, I won't make a second dollar-cost averaging purchase.
Besides the split-position dollar-cost averaging, I also keep 50% of my funds in reserve. As mentioned in the subscription, to prepare for the US stock market, at least the folks on Wall Street won't actively enter the market until this hidden risk in the US stocks is addressed. Without large capital participation, there won't be a bull market.

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