Why Are Stock Market Futures Down Today, 3/1/26?

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U.S. stock futures fell Sunday night after the U.S. and Israel carried out strikes on Iran over the weekend. The news pushed oil prices higher and added a new worry for stock investors. Futures on the Nasdaq 100 (NDX), the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), and the S&P 500 (SPX) Index were down a modest 0.77%, 0.88%, and 0.74%, respectively, at 6:44 a.m. EDT on March 1.

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At the same time, investors moved money into safer assets. Gold futures rose about 2% as demand for safe-haven investments increased.

The strikes killed Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, marking a major event for the country. President Donald Trump said U.S. military operations in Iran were “ahead of schedule.” However, the situation has increased uncertainty in global markets.

Meanwhile, oil prices jumped roughly 9.4% in early trading. Investors worry the situation could expand into a wider war and disrupt supply, since Iran is one of OPEC’s largest producers. There is also uncertainty about who will lead the country now.

Much now depends on the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global oil shipments. If fighting affects traffic there, energy prices could rise further and push inflation higher again.

The geopolitical tension adds to an already weak market backdrop. Stocks fell on Friday, and the S&P 500 ended February in the red as pressure in AI and software shares weighed on sentiment. The SPX slipped 0.43%, the DJIA fell 1.05%, while the Nasdaq 100 dropped 0.30%.

The first week of March will be busy for earnings, with companies from cybersecurity, retail, AI, and e-commerce set to release results. Key reports include CrowdStrike CRWD -2.39% ▼ , Target TGT -0.87% ▼ , Broadcom AVGO -0.67% ▼ , Okta OKTA -3.65% ▼ , Rigetti Computing RGTI -6.55% ▼ , Costco COST +2.44% ▲ , and JD.com JD -1.67% ▼ .

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