Analysis of UniCredit: Estimated Bitcoin Price at $75,000 According to Specialist

Thomas Strobel, senior analyst at UniCredit, has projected that Bitcoin could reach an estimated fair value of approximately $75,000 under optimal market conditions. Currently, with the price around $63,560, there is a significant gap reflecting the inherent volatility of the digital asset and the influence of investor sentiment.

Market Sentiment Conditions That Determine Direction

According to Strobel’s analysis, Bitcoin’s price movement mainly depends on market sentiment and available liquidity conditions. The expert emphasizes that these two factors act as key drivers of price behavior, especially during periods of economic uncertainty. Investor confidence and capital availability are crucial for the asset to move toward the estimated levels.

Critical Risks: The Warning of Structural Decline

The UniCredit analyst warns of a potential bearish scenario. A correction that reduces the price by about 35% from the estimated level—dropping below $50,000—could mark the beginning of a deeper structural bear market. This zone is considered critical for the health of the current bull market, as it would represent a break of fundamental technical supports.

Factors That Would Drive Recovery Toward the Target Valuation

For Bitcoin to reach the estimated price and surpass $75,000, Strobel identifies three essential components: first, a substantial improvement in overall investor sentiment; second, increased inflows through index funds (Bitcoin ETFs); and third, a notable increase in market liquidity. The convergence of these factors would enable the asset to advance toward the projected level, thus validating the analyst’s estimate.

UniCredit’s outlook establishes an analytical framework where Bitcoin fluctuates between $50,000 as a bearish alert level and $75,000 as a reference valuation, with market sentiment being the determining factor within this range.