Technical Breakdown Signals XRP Could Test Sub-$1 Levels—Peter Brandt's Chart Analysis

The technical picture for XRP has shifted decisively. After holding above key support across multiple market cycles, Ripple price has now broken through a long-term level that traders monitor as a critical boundary. Chart analysts watching XRP are zooming in on what comes next. The immediate question centers on whether this breakdown opens the door to prices below $1 before any meaningful recovery takes hold. That concern gains weight when you examine the recent forecasts from veteran analyst Peter Brandt, whose track record on major XRP downturns commands attention even among skeptics within the community.

When Technical Patterns Break: The Double Top Setup Peter Brandt Identified

Peter Brandt flagged a crucial technical formation during the early part of the current cycle. A double top pattern emerged on the XRP chart—a classic bearish reversal structure that appears when price tests a peak twice but fails to climb higher on the second attempt. The setup carries weight in technical analysis because once the middle support breaks, the pattern often signals lower prices ahead.

The significance of Brandt’s observation became clearer when the support level actually did give way. XRP moved into a deeper decline after losing that critical line, transforming the warning into a realized pattern. Brandt’s analysis wasn’t driven by emotion or market drama. His focus remained on the structural setup itself and the risk exposure once the pattern completed. The move that followed demonstrated why his chart reading matters—he spotted the vulnerability before it manifested in price action.

What made this analysis valuable extends beyond the pattern recognition. Brandt also tracked a major liquidation event that struck XRP hard during the subsequent decline. He characterized the bounce that followed as temporary strength occurring inside a larger bearish environment rather than the start of a genuine reversal. When XRP corrected again, it reinforced his cautious stance. This sequence of events is precisely why traders continue to watch Peter Brandt’s commentary, even when the message carries an uncomfortable bearish tone.

100-Week Moving Average Collapse: Historical Parallels and Current Risk

The technical breakdown expanded when XRP price dropped below the 100-week moving average. This orange line functions as a key trend guide that has historically separated bull market momentum from bear market weakness across multiple cycles. The current break carries immediate attention because of what happened during April 2022.

During that prior bear market, XRP faced an identical breakdown when it fell below the same moving average. Price subsequently corrected roughly 50% from the breakdown area before the cycle bottom formed. The actual move took XRP from approximately $0.67 down to near $0.32—a substantial drawdown that lasted weeks. The historical parallel matters because it provides a quantifiable reference point.

If a similar 50% decline were to unfold from the current breakdown zone, XRP price would fall decidedly below $1. Peter Brandt and other technical analysts have outlined a worst-case scenario targeting near $0.86 if the historical analog repeats. That level emerges from moving average framework calculations but is framed as a possible outcome rather than a guaranteed destination. The actual bottom could vary. The point of the analysis is identifying where structural support might emerge if selling pressure accelerates.

Price Targets and Support Zones: Where Multiple Analysts Agree

Beyond the historical framework, multiple traders have now converged on specific price zones worth monitoring. One established analyst, known by the handle JD, previously called several significant XRP moves including a major rally setup earlier in 2025. JD posted a crash target near $1.11 during an earlier phase of the decline. More recently, JD has highlighted what traders call a “pink box” zone positioned below $1—an area where accumulation activity might concentrate if downside pressure continues.

This sub-$1 region receives additional validation from the 100-week moving average analysis. A working range between $0.75 and $0.90 emerges as a plausible bottom area if the bearish scenario unfolds completely. Within that range, $0.85 to $0.86 stands out as particularly noteworthy because it aligns with the moving average framework calculations. When multiple technical approaches point toward overlapping zones, the significance increases.

Macro Headwinds Adding Pressure—Geopolitics and Fed Policy Impact

The technical breakdown doesn’t exist in isolation. Peter Brandt and other analysts have pointed to macro conditions that could amplify the downside risk. Escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and the United States represent one pressure point. Tariff disputes linked to trade policy rhetoric add another layer of uncertainty. These factors matter because they can trigger broad liquidation waves across crypto markets when investors grow concerned about economic disruption.

The argument centers on how macro shocks have historically compressed risk appetite across digital assets. When liquidity dries up in uncertain times, forced selling accelerates downward moves. Current price action in XRP appears vulnerable to exactly this dynamic—technical weakness meeting macro pressure at the same moment.

Potential Recovery Catalysts: When Could XRP Find Footing?

While the near-term picture carries bearish undertones, Peter Brandt’s analysis also touches on what could mark a turning point. Federal Reserve rate cuts combined with a renewal of liquidity could support a gradual recovery phase for XRP price after a deep washout clears weak hands from the market. The timing for such a shift remains uncertain because macro cycles operate on their own schedule.

The broader argument focuses on how liquidity cycles have historically influenced risk assets like XRP. A recovery might look fundamentally different from prior rallies—slower, with lower velocity—but the structural opportunity could still emerge once the technical and macro backdrops reset. That timeframe could extend weeks or even months depending on how geopolitical and policy developments unfold.

XRP Current Market Data

• Price: $1.29
• 24H Change: -9.48%
• Status: Trading below long-term moving average support, confirming technical breakdown analyzed by Peter Brandt and other chart watchers