The long-term "welfare" users of the US-Iran war suffered a crushing defeat today, losing $6.74 million in a single day and giving back all profits

On February 28, according to PolyBeats monitoring, the prediction market Polymarket user @anoin123 has been consistently betting that the U.S. will not strike Iran as the settlement date approaches, typically buying when the market probability is between 70-90% to earn “insurance” profits. The user has accumulated over $2 million in profits using this strategy over time. However, after the U.S. announced strikes on Iran today, they suffered a single-day loss of over $6.74 million, wiping out all previous insurance profits, with total account losses reaching $4.49 million.