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- Short-term trend: Driven by favorable policies, SOL experienced a violent surge. The daily MACD formed a golden cross, but the weekly and 3-day charts remain in a bearish trend, indicating an oversold rebound + main force pushing up to distribute, not a trend reversal.
- Main force behavior: Leveraging positive news for rapid rise, triggering a large number of short positions to be liquidated. At the same time, they distribute chips through large transfers and big trades at high levels,诱多散户接盘.
- Risk reminder: The current position is a strong resistance zone. Chasing highs carries significant risk. Although short positions show unrealized losses, strict risk control is necessary, waiting for a pullback opportunity after main force distribution.
Direction Entry Level Stop Loss Take Profit Remarks
Long (Cautious) 80.8-81.0 (EMA25 support) 79.5 (Recent low point) 83.0 (Strong resistance) Only suitable for short-term trading, stop loss if broken
Short (Priority) 82.5-83.0 (Strong resistance zone) 84.0 (Breakout with volume) 78.0 (Previous consolidation platform) High probability of pullback after main force distribution
Deep Short - 84.0 (Strict stop loss) 78.0 (Exit target) 75.x Short positions need to withstand volatility, stop loss if broken
1. No chasing highs: Do not open long positions above 83 to avoid catching main force chips.
2. Strict stop loss: Short positions at 84.0, long positions at 79.5. Do not hold positions against the trend or add to positions inversely.
3. Follow the trend: The overall trend remains bearish. Rebounds are opportunities to reduce losses or exit positions, not signals of reversal. - The daily MACD golden cross is a passive correction; weekly and 3-day charts remain bearish, with limited rebound space.
#当前行情抄底还是观望？
- Main force leverages positive news to push up and distribute chips. Large transfers and big trades indicate chips are being distributed at high levels.
$BTC
- Key resistance at 83.0, support at 80.8. If broken, the trend continues. Operations require strict risk control.
$SOL