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, shrinking over 40% from its peak in October 2025. The panic index dropped to 12, indicating "extreme fear."
This crisis's impact on the crypto market far exceeds simple price fluctuations; it is reshaping the market landscape across three dimensions: capital, trust, and ecosystem. The withdrawal of institutional funds is the most alarming signal: Bitcoin spot ETFs experienced the largest outflow since approval in 2024, with nearly $2 billion net outflow in the first four days of February, reversing a two-year inflow trend of $35 billion. More severely, 11 US state pension funds holding Strategy stock are now unrealized losses of $337 million, and this "vote with their feet" by traditional institutions could trigger more compliant capital to flee the crypto market.
Regulatory headwinds further deepen the winter of the market. The US Treasury Secretary explicitly stated "no authority to rescue cryptocurrencies," shattering investors' hopes for government bailouts. Meanwhile, FSOC's regulatory focus shifts from "risk warning" to "systemic integration," signaling the end of the era of unregulated growth. Coupled with concerns over liquidity tightening following Fed Chair nominee Waller's hawkish stance, the market expects the total crypto market cap could shrink another 30% over the next two years, as high leverage and speculative strategies become unsustainable.
The deeper impact lies in the collapse of the "digital gold" narrative for Bitcoin. While gold prices hit a new high of over $5,000 per ounce, Bitcoin sharply declined in the opposite direction, raising serious doubts about its safe-haven status. Funds are shifting toward AI stocks and precious metals, which are seen as more stable assets. For a crypto industry reliant on narrative support, this faith collapse could lead to long-term capital outflows, forcing the sector into a cooling period focused on technological fundamentals rather than speculation. Strategy's $4.6 billion unrealized loss is not just a corporate crisis but a tombstone marking the end of the wild growth era in crypto. The upcoming market will face a long period of deleveraging and de-bubbling pains.