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📰 Market Situation (December 31)
⭕ Macro
The Federal Reserve will buy approximately $220 billion in short-term government bonds
👉 Technical operation, not QE
In December, interest rates were cut, but
👉 The probability of another rate cut in January is low (about 13%)
Officials remain cautious about inflation stickiness, with a cautious policy stance
⭕ Crypto
ETH: 8.7 million new contracts added in Q4, on-chain activity hits a new high (long-term positive)
BTC: Trump states that the US will explore more ways to purchase BTC (narrative bias)
⭕ Summary and Advice: Although liquidity is not tight now, there is no excessive easing, so the market remains volatile. In trading, avoid chasing highs and wait for structural opportunities.