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Trading is just afraid of human nature acting up!
Looking at $BTC's trend, the weekly chart has already touched a high-level sideways consolidation, followed by a downward push. The daily chart maintains a downtrend, and the 4-hour chart's previous decline is now entering sideways consolidation—could it form a bottom reversal arc? It's still uncertain and needs more K-line confirmation. The 1-hour chart's rebound in the downtrend appears weak and lifeless. On the minute level (5-15m), although there is upward oscillation, the strength is very feeble.
The current market situation is a tangled mess. Disorderly, chaotic, hard to describe. At such times, placing orders with stop-loss? How big should the stop be? And it's very easy to get shaken out. What's more heartbreaking is that such market conditions are most likely to cause confusion—frequent small stop-losses, bleeding out repeatedly, account drawdowns accelerating rapidly.
From a spot perspective, it's not the time to get in yet. Lacking profit-driving effects, the entire market feels dead. I actually hope the weekly can rebound a bit, creating some upward momentum on the 4-hour or even 1-hour levels. That would be great—some experienced traders with risk management awareness could relieve their positions, and those driven by emotion and greed could learn a long-lasting lesson. As for futures? In an intraday disorderly state, the smartest choice is to stay on the sidelines and observe.
**Speaking of which, I recall a strange phenomenon:** We are fully aware of our trading bad habits and understand how to survive decently in this market. But why do we keep stepping into the same pits? Because there’s a chasm between knowing and doing. Knowing is surface-level wisdom; doing is real skill. That’s the bizarre nature of human beings—human hearts are like knives, the mind like a candle. Human desires are like a raging wind, but rational beliefs are as fragile as a single candle wick, swaying with the breeze. That’s why mistakes are repeated and cycles continue.
Your memory is worse than a goldfish. Goldfish forget in seven seconds, you forget in one. Why? Because that one second is filled with greed, fear, doubt, hesitation. Usually lying at home, the lessons from previous losses are vivid. But when it’s time to open a position, the brain just shorts out, completely offline.
**Honestly, the design of this market is perfect—I can’t think of anything that can stir people’s hearts more effectively.** It constantly provides visual stimulation, data stimulation, psychological stimulation. Signals to buy come wave after wave. When this "buy" hint accumulates to a critical point, you will really press the buy button. Rationality is completely bombarded and surrenders entirely. More addictive than drugs, deeper than losing reason in love.
**Once you truly understand the secret to surviving in this market, the first thing to learn is—slow down.** Knowing ≠ being able to do; there’s no shortcut across this chasm. Trading requires framing your own logic, finding your rhythm, and not being led around by the market’s nose. While completely avoiding mistakes is a fantasy, through self-discipline and patience, the frequency of errors can definitely be reduced. In a bear market, just surviving already means winning.