I recently came across an interesting market analysis. A well-known data institution used AI to consolidate the insights of 246 market experts and conducted a backtest on the market performance over the past five years. This "Consensus Index" is quite accurate, capturing all major crashes, rebounds, and even recent oscillations.

But now there's a bit of an awkward situation—even this AI system is in a state of "neutral confusion." It’s unclear whether the next move will be up or down. Even the big players themselves can’t say for sure. This actually sends an important signal to retail investors.

Under expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, the crypto market seems poised for a rebound, but the actual trend has been oscillating repeatedly. The most common mistake at this point is being driven by anxiety and blindly following others’ quick moves. But that’s not the right approach.

When uncertainty is so high, there are three things you need to do:

**First, stop overtrading.** Predicting short-term rises and falls is inherently a false proposition, especially when market consensus is vague. Chasing highs and selling lows is just a way to give your money away.

**Second, evaluate your positions.** If you’re optimistic about the long term, don’t change your mind now. What you should do is hold steady on your coins and block out market noise and emotional contagion.

**Third, give yourself some breathing room.** In uncertain markets, holding cash is also a position. Keeping some liquidity allows you to react when opportunities arise, and it helps keep your mindset stable.

When the market is chaotic, doing nothing is often smarter than making reckless moves. Stick to your logic, wait for genuine signals of direction, and that’s the mark of a seasoned trader. Observing quietly and waiting for the right moment is essentially about building strength, not about lying flat.